Aris Mining Corp. T.ARIS

Alternate Symbol(s): T.ARIS.W.B | ARMN | N.AMNG.NT.U | TPRXF | CLGDF | T.ARIS.W.A

Metals & Mining Gold

Aris Mining Corporation is a Canada-based company, which is primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold properties in Colombia, Guyana and Canada. The Company operates the Segovia Operations and Marmato Mine in Colombia. The Segovia Operations are located 180 kilometers (km) northeast of Medellin in the Segovia-Remedios mining district of Antioquia, Colombia. The Marmato mine is located in the Marmato gold district in the Caldas Department, a mountainous region approximately 80 km south of Medellin, Colombia. The Company is also the operator and 20% owner of the Soto Norte Project. The project is located within the traditional mining area of California, Vetas, which is located approximately 350 km north of Bogota and 55 km northeast of the city of Bucaramanga. The Company also owns the Toroparu Project in Guyana and the Juby Project, which covers an area of approximately 42,817 hectares and is located in the Cuyuni-Mazaruni Region of Guyana.

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Aris Mining Corp. > ARIS seems so undervalued

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Post by challenger426on Jan 25, 2023 12:47pm

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Post# 35245527

ARIS seems so undervalued

I just crunched some numbers using the POG around $1900 and ARIS seems extremely undervalued.

2023 Forecasts include:

230,000-270,000 oz production
$1050 - $1150 AISC
$19M non sustaining CAPEX costs
136M shares outstanding
$1900/oz gold price

Using the above numbers on a worst and best case scenario, I get these share price forecasts:

$11.48 Worst Case
$15.47 Best Case

Each $100 change in the average price of gold can swing the needle in those scenarios by $1.50 - $2.00 in the share price value. Therefore, even if the POG fell back to $1700/oz, ARIS is still undervalued by at least $3/share on a worst case scenario meaning they produce near the bottom of the range and the AISC comes in near the top of the range for 2023.

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