GREY:HYKCF - Post by User
Comment by
David_Adellon Aug 04, 2009 1:48pm
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Post# 16189715
RE: Margins
RE: Margins2nd quarter will be crummy too . Natural gas prices are weak . GM and Chrysler declared bankruptcy and the banks were still on a shaky footing. Naturally nat gas drillers weren't going to get alot of service work done when they can just pull a part off an idle rig. However, in the last week you can detect real signs of optimism. The " cash for clunkers" policy in the US is a runaway success and total unit sales that were forecast to be < 10 million have already been surpassed. So once the auto industry starts showing signs of life its a good sign for the overall economy. The housing market is also stabilizing too , and even sectors like semi conductors are starting to show signs of strength. Copper and other base metal are on a tear also. I think natural gas has bottomed and the smarter companies wil be gettig their rigs ready for the next up cycle. European bank profits were better than expected too. I can see Hyduke approaching where it was a year ago by October in the 60 to 70 cent range. After that it wil depend on whether private investment money starts to flow. Alot of the activity going on is fueled by worldwide infrastructure spending. Ifl private dollar flows start entering the economy ( most has sat idle so far) then we have the potential for a real rapid return to economic expansion. If nat gas prices can hit 5 or 6 dollars before the heating season, and economic indicators keep surprising to the upside, Hyduke may return to the dolar range within a years time.