GMP Report Rated a Buy - Short term Price of $3.90I told ya guys!!!!!!!!!! To Infinity and Beyonnnnddddd!!!!!!!!!!!
Andrew Mikitchook, P.Eng, CFA Associate: Mark Raguz
amikitchook@gmpsecurities.com mraguz@gmpsecurities.com
416-943-6651 416-943-6631
January 28, 2011
Prepared by GMP Securities L.P.
See important disclosures on the last page of this report
Gold Canyon Resources7 (GCU-V) BUY
Last: $2.05 Target: $3.90
Share Data
Shares (mm, basic/f.d.) 91.1/118.1
52-week high/low C
.18/C$2.76
Market capitalization (mm) C$186
Enterprise value (mm) C$178
Dividend yield Nil
Total projected return 91%
Summary Metrics
Key Asset
Springpole Gold Property
Location
Red Lake Mining District, Canada
Stage of Development
Resource Delineation
Ownership 100%
Current Mineralized
Inventory (All categories)
mmoz 0
GMP Target
Mineralization
mmoz 4.4
Financial Information
Estimated Treasury C$ mm $7.5
Debt C$ mm
.0
Dilution Cash From
Warrants and Options
C$ mm $15
GCU-V
.00
.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
Jan-11
Dec-10
Nov-10
Oct-10
Sep-10
Aug-10
Jun-10
May-10
Apr-10
Mar-10
Feb-10
Close Price
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Volume in Millions
Initiating Coverage: A Large Portage
Potential Multi Million Ounce Discovery
The wholly owned Springpole property has, in our opinion, the potential to
graduate from its currently undefined mineral potential into a multi million
ounce resource. Our conservative estimates put the potential at greater
than 4 mm oz.
Rapid Growth
Drilling on the Portage zone has increased the footprint of potential
mineralization in the past year and continued success is expected.
Permitting
Gold Canyon’s valuation should get support from progress by Osisko on
the Hammond Reef permitting and specifically the permitting and draining
of Mitta Lake expected in the summer of 2011.
Valuation
Initiating Coverage with a Buy Rating and $3.90 Target based on our
target mineralization of 4.4mmoz at a valuation of $100/oz. We expect
visibility above this mineralization target by year end 2011 as well as a
potential to justify stronger $/oz valuations as the PEA is delivered.
Andrew Mikitchook, P.Eng, CFA Associate: Mark Raguz
amikitchook@gmpsecurities.com mraguz@gmpsecurities.com
416-943-6651 416-943-6631
MINERALIZATION TARGET
The Portage mineralization has been intersected over 950m strike trending northwest-southeast – it
remains open in both directions. The true width of mineralization appears to range from 90-150m but
locally has potential to be wider, perhaps up to 250m. The vertical extent is roughly 300m but remains
open at depth. Drilling has been restarted from the ice to deliver closely spaced definition holes in order
to delineate the Portage zone, as well as to step out to the south-east to define the limits of
mineralization.
Exhibit 1: Springpole Drill Traces
Source: Company Reports
Exhibit 2: GMP Mineralization Target
Length
(m)
Width
(m)
Depth
(m)
Density
(t/m3) Tonnes
Grade
(g/t) Contained oz Target
600 150 300 2.45 66,150,000 1.30 2 ,765,000 2.50
800 150 300 2.45 88,200,000 1.30 3 ,686,000 3.30
950 150 300 2.45 104,737,500 1.30 4 ,378,000 3.90
1200 150 300 2.45 132,300,000 1.30 5 ,530,000 4.90
1400 150 300 2.45 154,350,000 1.30 6 ,451,000 5.70
1600 150 300 2.45 176,400,000 1.30 7 ,373,000 6.40
2000 150 300 2.45 220,500,000 1.30 9 ,216,000 8.00
Source: Company Reports, GMP Securities
Andrew Mikitchook, P.Eng, CFA Associate: Mark Raguz
amikitchook@gmpsecurities.com mraguz@gmpsecurities.com
416-943-6651 416-943-6631
Exhibit 2 above provides some indications of potential mineralization at Springpole. To set our
mineralization target of 4.4mmoz, we are only using the currently defined 950m of strike, 300m of depth
and 150m of width. We are using the upper limit of the apparent thickness range as areas of thicker
mineralization both in the south-east margin and in the north-east will likely bring the average width
towards the upper end of the range. We see significant upside in all three dimensions:
? Strike extent could exceed of 2km: 1km of potential extension to the south-east is indicated by
the recessive nature of the mineralized porphyry and to the northwest at least 3 historic drill
holes have extended the mineralized porphyry below the Main zone mineralization with drilling
returning mineralized porphyry but poor recoveries.
? Width may locally exceed 250m depending on the dip of the mineralization. Two wider areas in
holes 22 and 24 in the southeast and hole 26 in the northwest may range in true thickness
from 150-250+m.
? Depth of the mineralization remains open with no deep holes failing to hit mineralized material.
While historical resources exist at the Main, East Extension and SPROG zones we are not at this point
including them in our analysis as they appear to be significantly smaller than the Portage zone,
potentially not readily amenable to large scale mining and lastly are unlikely to be a driver for the
market in the near-term. We will continue to monitor results to see how these other zones can be
included into potential Portage development scenarios.
Andrew Mikitchook, P.Eng, CFA Associate: Mark Raguz
amikitchook@gmpsecurities.com mraguz@gmpsecurities.com
416-943-6651 416-943-6631
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