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WestFire Energy Ltd T.WFE



TSX:WFE - Post by User

Post by JohnJBondon Aug 14, 2012 11:46am
374 Views
Post# 20215242

Bought in

Bought in

Yesterday I decdied to sell some more established holdings, and use the funds to by WFT between 3.95 and 4.

 

I think its an excellent entry point.   In my view, the share price has fallen as a result of a few people who wanted something else, dumping in protest.    Their loss is my gain.    I suspect they are looking at trees, and failing to notice the forest.

 

In answer to the question Why?    In my view, this merger is part of a larger plan.    Its worth keeping in mind that the Chinese offer for Nexen took about a year to finalize, and consisted of several steps, ending in the cash offer.

 

I strongly suspect this merger is part of a similar larger plan...................afterall, why would WFE's mgmt, go for such an apparently inferior offer, when they could have accepted $7-8 in cash elsewhere.    

 

The Chinese would much rather buy one larger company at a premium, than try for two smaller companies at a discount.    The Chinese can only buy so many Canadian Companies, before thier rich offers start meeting political oposition.   

 

In my view, there is probably a larger deal in the works...................ie merge WFE with another undervalued company.............result in double the production, and 6 - 12 months later, recieve an offer of 70,000-100,000 per flowing barrel from an eager Chinese buyer.     If I were managing WFE, and had been unable to get $12 per share in the last few months, but I was given a means to getting a $12 offer in 2 or 3 quarters, I`d agree to a merger like this - no doubt about it.     

 

I`d know it would cause some short term share price issues, but I`d also know the outcome would more than make up for it.

 

In strange situations like this, its important to see the forest, rather than focus on the trees.

 

 

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