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Ainsworth Lumber Co Ltd ANSBF



GREY:ANSBF - Post by User

Post by dosperroson Apr 01, 2013 8:50pm
260 Views
Post# 21195324

Valuation note

Valuation note

I am of two minds of P/E.  One one hand it is not a legitimate valuation echnique for volatile industries.  It is backward looking.  It works for diversified, stable firms with steady earnings (GE for instance.)

 

 

Where P/E is fun, for me personally, is where someone looks at P/E and sells to me because it’s “outragoeusly high.”  When one bases a sell secision on 2012 data (OSB margins at maybe 10%) and disregards the forward-looking 2013 margin of perhaps 40% to 70%, it lets me buy cheaper than I would normally.  Change is inevitable, just not from vending machines.  When change is sweeping and profound it distorts some basic finance tools. 

 

Like I said, good and bad.

 

/DP

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