CW my best/worst case scenario'sHad some free time, so i had a little fun with numbers. Just to check novo's valuation at the moment.
CW: 6km - 1km
PPZ: 0.5m 30g/t = 7.5 Moz
Lower conglo: 8m 15g/t = 60.5Moz
Best case: 68Moz
PPZ: 0.5m 5g/t = 1.25Moz
Lower conglo: 3m 3g/t = 4.5Moz
worst case: 5.25Moz
Using my worst case scenario, Novo's is valued correctly (using only CW). Using the best case its a 10bagger. Truth will be somewhere in the middle. I'd put CW at around:
CW: 6km - 1km
PPZ: 0.5m 15g/t = 3.75 Moz
Lower conglo: 4m 7.5g/t = 15.125Moz
Realistic case: 18.875Moz
Fair valuation for Novo (imho), just shy of 2.5B cad or circa 12cad (fully diluted).
Note that herefore i am using a situation that still has to be proven, but i am only using 0,05% of their total land holdings...