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Mandalay Resources Corp. T.MND

Alternate Symbol(s):  MNDJF

Mandalay Resources Corporation is a Canada-based natural resource company with producing assets in Australia (Costerfield gold-antimony mine) and Sweden (Bjorkdal gold mine). The Costerfield operation is located in Victoria, Australia, within the Costerfield mining district, approximately 10 km northeast of the town of Heathcote, Victoria. Youle and Shepherd are the main source of material for Costerfield. The Costerfield operation has a land package of approximately 1,219 hectares. The Bjorkdal operation is located within the Boliden mining district, approximately 28 km northwest of the municipality of Skelleftea and approximately 750 km north of Stockholm. The Bjorkdal mine produces ore from the Aurora zone underground mine, as well as from a stockpile of low-grade material accumulated over the course of its life of mine. The Bjorkdal operation has a land package of around 12,949 hectares. Its non-core properties include Lupin mines (Canada) and La Quebrada (Chile).


TSX:MND - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by ganndolphon Nov 02, 2018 6:45am
91 Views
Post# 28912664

RE:RE:RE:RE:now a pessimistic post

RE:RE:RE:RE:now a pessimistic post
Sherry35,
 
The operational issue at GUY is not at all similar to MND.  GUY's problem is that their gold head grades dropped from the 2.88 g/t predicted in their 43-101 report to 2.12 g/t actual in the most recent quarter with the result that they did not get the 60k+ ounce gold production that was in their mine plan, but only produced 41,200 ounces.  At the same time open pit strip ratios have gone up from 4 to 8 which means costs have gone up by $10 million USD, while top line revenue has stayed nearly constant at around $50 million USD, with the result that GUY went from net earnings of $8.39 million USD in Q1 2018 to a loss of $2.196 million in Q3 2018.  So GUY is bringing in a mine consultant to review the resource modeling--not good news.
 
To make matters worse, GUY is getting ready to go underground at Rorys Knoll, and so their costs are going to go up in the next 2 years.
 
Unlike GUY which has no flexibility to improve their mine economics short term, Mandalay Resources has the capability to improve mine economics at Bjorkdal by changing the ore mix going into the mill, and IMHO the reduction in gold production at Bjorkdal will result in an improvement in cash flow. I think most investors assume that if gold production drops, then both revenue and bottom line results will be lower than the previous quarter.  
 
Furthermore, at Bjorkdal, the 2018 mine plan was based on mining 2.1 g/t gold underground, and the long term average underground grade at Bjorkdal is 3.2 g/t.  So IMHO there is a considerable
opportunity to improve quarterly gold production at Bjorkdal.  
 
Bullboard Posts