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Conifex Timber Inc T.CFF

Alternate Symbol(s):  CFXTF

Conifex Timber Inc. is a Canada-based forest products company, which operates fiber baskets in North America, northern British Columbia. The Company produces lumber products and renewable energy from its sawmill and bioenergy plant in Mackenzie, British Columbia. Its lumber products are sold in the United States, Canadian and Japanese markets. It also produces bioenergy at its power generation facility at Mackenzie, British Columbia. Its lumber products include J-GRADE, 2 AND BETTER, SELECT, STUDS, ECONOMY and 3. The Company operates a two-line sawmill in Mackenzie, British Columbia (the Mackenzie Mill). Its Mackenzie Mill has approximately 240 million board feet of annual lumber capacity on a two-shift basis. It operates a 36-megawatt biomass power generation plant in Mackenzie, British Columbia (the Power Plant), located at the site of its Mackenzie Mill. Its Power Plant's output capacity is in excess of 230 gigawatt hours (GWh) of electricity per year.


TSX:CFF - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by dosperroson Jan 13, 2020 1:52pm
112 Views
Post# 30547225

Good catch on Polar. Need to trim salaries and move to Mck.

Good catch on Polar. Need to trim salaries and move to Mck.I think the powerplant is worth --considering the fact it carries debt (the rest of the debt has been wiped out).  The Powerplant's earnings, less debt, should be worth  between $0.51 and $1.40 per share.

The mill to is between $1.28 and $2.98 per share.  It costs a lot to build a mill -- at least $500 CAD/MFBM.  

The 632,000 M3/year plus 150,000 M3/year of tenue is worth money as we all know.  

So, I see this being worth $2.95/share worst case, and $6.55/share best case.  It's trading at 26 cents on the dollar of worstr case now so makes sense Polar is coming in heavier.  I hope they will take control evenutally and remove Ken.  But there's really no more damage Ken can do -- they clipped his wings.  I trust he'll be taking a pay cut and moving to Mac full time.  There ought to be a shareholder motion to cut exec compo in the coming annual meeting.

  
Power Revenue Multiple EBITDA/year Enterprise Value Debt Market Value Value/Share
low 6x $14 $84 $60 $24 $0.51
medium 7.5x $14 $105 $60 $45 $0.96
high 9x $14 $126 $60 $66 $1.40
             
Mill $/MFBM Market Value Value/Share      
low 300 $60.00 $1.28      
medium 500 $100.00 $2.13      
high 700 $140.00 $2.98      
             
Tenure $/M3 Market Value Value/Share      
low $70.00 $55 $1.16      
medium $90.00 $70 $1.50      
high $130.00 $102 $2.16      
             
Summary Value/Share          
low $2.95 sum of parts, based on the above three assets   26%
medium $4.58         17%
high $6.55         12%

Bullboard Posts