RE:RE:Average down strategymomo2point0 wrote: The share price was $4.20 on May 13th. It probably was a VERY good idea to average down now wasn't it?
Triple top talk today? Yeah right.
Pay attention to the short position that grew from May 13th to today while the share price increased. What is that telling you papa?
eom
momo
N00bInvesT0R wrote:
May 13th
The share price may be very tempting but buy slowly, specially if you're not good at reading charts. ACB and Weed will report this month and it will not be pretty as they started to take measures that will need at least another quarter to take effect. Even then, those measures are not gonna make profitability, positive ebidta or any miracle on the balance sheet. If you also haven't been following the indices or index price action, they clearly are disconnected with the reality. Meaning they are due for a correction and let's not remember the beautiful 2.65 52W low we hit when the index and indices tanked. This is why i don't expect any positive momentum for the share price except fake breakouts. So this is why I recommend to buy APHA but slowly, at these prices, you are almost guarantee to double your money, like the champions who bought the 52W low and sold on Q3 2020 report. Don't FOMO, don't also try to time the market but be reasonable and smart about it. Fundamentals doesn't always time the price share even if on paper and after you do a benchmarking with the other companies it looks like a steal... Trust me, I learned the hard way, the doctor told me that my back will break if that bag keeps getting heavier. With that average down strategy my back feels better and the doctor cleared me. In a bearish market, it feels like you can name your price and it will happen, who ever imagined 2.65 that is 50% lower than short report price and today a price action at the short report level... I hope that this post will help someone, stay safe and cheers!
Yes I added shares at 4.00 but not all my fire power like I suggested in that post.
Point is like I said in my previous post :
02/14/2020 we failed to break it, we consolidated all the way back to 2.65
04/15/2020 we failed to break it and consolidated all the way to 3.93.
You realise that from 3.93 to today current high of the day as I'm writing this post which is 6.00, means that Aphria rallied 52% since 3.93 without consolidation which is alot. Now don't get me wrong I won't complain but as bull with my average down strategy, you think I didn't sell the position I bought at 4.00 so I can take my almost 52% profit on the table?
That was the whole point of my average down strategy, you don't wanna be trapped with 100% of your position but at the same time you don't want to time the market. Therefore you can have a core position and a swing position.
I'm all for the breakout but I would of prefered some consolidation before we test the 6.00$ key level, setting a higher low would of given bulls more space and firepower heading into the 6.00$.
So like I said, ideally we still manage to break that 6.00$ with conviction by the end of the day. We don't want the bears to get away easily with that top fishing play, we want them to be anxious and paniced about it. Now for sure I didn't contribute when I sold those shares at 6.00 but at the end of the day stock market is a selfish game.
So back to my strategy, In the case we don't break the 6.00, I still took almost 52% profit on my swing position.
If we break 6$, I'm still winning and im ready to add more once we establish a higher low compared to 3.93.
And like I said in that post that you quoted, Apha should be by far the leader in market cap value but unfortunately the correlation between the price action in the cannabis sector and the fundamentals is not logical.
NO Fomo, don't try to time the market, be reasonable and smart about it.
Price per share when I pressed post = 5.83 canadian
Good luck