Trump Wins if He Gets Florida and Pennsylvania. Game Over!!Trump Wins if he gets Florida and Pennsylvania. Trump's up by 4 points in Florida at Real Clear Politics, so that's a lock, and they are tied in Pennsylvania, but the trend is your friend in Trump's favor so he should win PA because Biden is destroying the oil industry. Also did you see Barack Obama's ridiculous attempt in Florida to stir up emotion. Barack looks so clumsy when he does this. It was embarrassing and overcompensating for something.