GREY:ATBPF - Post by User
Comment by
MrMugsyon Dec 19, 2020 3:16pm
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Post# 32147528
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:This is a Joke
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:This is a JokeRyeman40 wrote: With this new nr I've changed my outlook with my previous notion that big pharma might wait. I was just trying to look at this from all angles even with stellar results.
How long and how much money has been wasted on trying to develop a safe NSAID. Recent example was Gilead and their collaboration with Galapagos and a failed rheumatoid arthritis drug. I know Antibe is going with conservative numbers for sales but i believe they'll take away the market share from some of the top names and if big pharma gets a hold of 346 it will be at the top with all their extensive reach of hospitals, doctors and payors. If you were a doctor would you prescribe Naproxen which will damage your gut and takes up to 6 weeks for efficacy or 346 which has better efficacy, lower dose and extremely safe.
Big pharma doesn't have to look anymore here it is. Somebody mentioned with the whole pipeline could be around 50 billion and i tend to agree. What would the market cap be? Haha a lot!
My price target is at least $40 for approval or buyout of 346. As of now thats around 1.6 billion market cap. Ridiculous really how cheap. Want the whole pipeline? Well thats going to cost you and rightfully so with years of revenues and breakthrough new safer drugs.
Yes Ryeman. I said $50B+
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We have now heard Dan use $30B for the first drug (includes other top indications to follow shortly after the first)
We also have an updated $11B for 352 which includes $9B for pill form and $3B for IV liquid form.
We also have $5B for 340 ... but ... that is a very old number and the future of this wonderdrug could lead to a very different number - if all goes well and if a new molecule strikes more life into the IP.
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That's a $46B market for 3 drugs and 340 could be higher. IMO.
In terms of how quickly a deal comes ... tough call.
If ATE thinks a better deal is possible and Big Pharma wont pay a fair price, there may be a different partnership waiting in the wings.
Tough to call right now ... but ... I too would love to be taken out sooner than later ... at a very fair price.
: )