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Aphria Inc. APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints of federal prohibition. It has some U.S. exposure through the acquisition of SweetWater, a craft brewer


NDAQ:APHA - Post by User

Comment by hevinon Dec 28, 2020 10:02am
363 Views
Post# 32186959

RE:RE:Predictions for Q2?

RE:RE:Predictions for Q2?Brilliant post again. But for whatever reason I can't stop laughing. Perhaps the pure logic and detail which we aren't used to seeing on this board. VENTURA or RAINMANTURA? lol have a great week buddy
glta longs



Ventura2020 wrote:
InTheWeeds2 wrote:

Does anyone have any insights into sales for Q2? Looks like total Canadian cannibas sales of $750m/ 14% market share = $105,000,000. 


Anyone have any insights into what the street is looking for ? What will be good vs bad? 



ITW2, this is what I came up with, close to your estimate.
 
APHA market share Canada -13% (latest December 16, 2020 and conservative)
 
Canada Cannabis Sales 
Sept 2020 - 257,034M (actual) + 2.1%
Oct 2020 – 270,079M (actual) + 5.1%
Nov 2020 – 276,830M (conservative estimate) +2.5%
 
Total - 803,943M
 
Apria estimated cannabis sales – 104,510M @13%
                                                       112,550M @14%
 
Q1 – Net Revenue 145,689 M
Q2 – Net Revenue estimates - Average 153.02M Low 138M High 159.6M
 
It will depend on CC Pharma and how they are doing. I believe sales in Canada will show a significant increase this quarter. IS and Merton and if they smack APHA with something unexpected.
 
In Q1 we saw…
 
First EU GMP shipment into Germany
 
Germany launched several CBD-based wellness brands in Q1 FY2021, including:
  • CannRelief brand, a line of cosmetic oils and creams as well as supplements, that seek to deliver “the best from the cannabis plant to impact the lives of our consumers for the better”.
  • Evoque brand, a line of natural sustainable products that help optimize skin, which includes face creams and serums.
  • CannaPet brand, a line of products that bring relaxation, relief or recovery to pets.
Published December 8, 2020
 
Germany’s market for medical cannabis extracts has shown meaningful growth this year, according to the latest reimbursement data available, and the gains have attracted new brands and products.
While the number of flower prescriptions covered by statutory health insurance decreased 5% from the first to second quarter of 2020, extracts prescriptions – including both full-spectrum and isolated cannabinoids – increased 15% in the same period.

Cheers,
Ventura



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