Here's a scanario for you smart guys over the weekend to rip up.

Carving out the Pumpkin underground gets us a cash-flow of $120 million++ USD after ramp up.

  • $4.00 copper less $1.86 cost = $2.04 X 65m pounds / yr = $132,000,000 profit

HBM, RIO, ABX etc come in and take 50% of the open pit at full 70,000 tpd.
  • 70,000 tpd is about 200 million pounds copper per year 
  • 100 million pounds goes to NCU
  • 100 million pounds goes to the partner

Capitol cost to build is $800 million
  • PM stream is sold by us and nets $350 million (just a guess until I do more work)
  • We cover the other $50 million from cash flow

The partner builds / runs the mine and we harvest:
  • $120 million / year underground
  • $250 million / year open pit

Our total free cash-flow is $370 million / year (and much higher if copper goes up more) which gets a higher multiple of 8X due to the partner and scale etc 
 
  • 8 X $370 million = ~3 billion / shares out = $1.50 per share for us (bird in had) within 12 months and off we go.

Thoughts?

Cheers,
Notgnu