RE:Using $100mm /qtr in FCF You're missing that they aren't selling barrels for $70 bucks. It's mostly hedged at much cheaper prices. In a few months the price per barrel that they're getting will go up. But the debt : ffo won't be at 1.5X any time soon. And let's also remember that FFO can tank at any time if opec changes their mind.
i wish I wish I wish you were right. But.... I think your time line is a bit ambitious.