RE:RE:RE:To reduce drilling on such LSG .integrated evaluation approaSo low saturation means mostly liquid or in thermodynamic terms the quality is low. Quality being defined as mass fraction of a saturated mixture that is vapor?
If that's true then your saying that because it's mostly liquid then that it is unlikely that whatever contained the pressure ruptured so the fluid in the reservoir did not flash or fizz into vapor?
The Bayesian stuff is inferential statistics but easy to explain as well by noting that it can be thought of as a kind of aggregate probability model like if the streets are wet, there's puddles in the street, people are carrying umbrellas then it probably rained.
So applied to our situation because seismic shows low saturation gas (meaning it's mostly liquid) and geological lithology info indicates a seal and also porous, permeable reservoir rock then it's greater than 35% that the liquid picked up by seismic is hydrocarbons. Is that about right or am I not understanding correctly?