RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:HEXO Merger or Acquisition ? (Here's Who & Why)Marketcap is an unrealiable means to compare companies. You may recall that Canopy Growth once had a Market Cap greater than that of Amazon. The tier 1 Cannabis producers are all working towards turning profitable therefore assigning values to the companies based on EPS is also difficult. The only remaining fundamental that can be used (IMHO) is the Price to Sales Ratio that takes into account sales dollars coming in vs. the share count outstanding. You can compare these ratios and start taking things a bit further if you want to compare total debt held by each company as well and/or compare value of assets divided by shares outstanding, again for each company. Assets such as patents are difficult to value so that number would be subjective to the person building the comparison.
I realize all of that does not provide a hardcore calculation to get fair market value but it is also the reason why you will see so many varying estimates as to fair market value, each analyst will be using their own best estimate as to various values including those of future sales potential.
This is a decent source for the PS-Ratio values and will provide you a means to pick up the PS-R for the companies you want to use for your comparisons
HEXO PS-Ratio https://ycharts.com/companies/HEXO.TO/ps_ratio
You can reverse calculate the value of HEXO shares using the PS-Ratio of other similar companies to help get an apx
current-day fair market value for shares if HEXO were to be trading at the higher ratios. You can take the same approach to get
future fair market value for shares based on a target PS-Ratio that you believe is reasonable to expect to see. In the case of HEXO we have are getting a average of 44, all time high of 244 and current PS of just 1.2
This is a link to show the Teir 1 Producers https://www.newcannabisventures.com/canadian-cannabis-lp-tier-1-index/
Hope that helps a bit
Q
igalaaq wrote: thanks for the info Quinlash, however, an easier way to convey what i am thinking is this: If HEXO had zero debt right now, what would they be worth (relative to other LP current market cap)?
For example, if they are actually worth 1.25 bn market cap (similar to sndl right now), then subtract their debt of approx 3/4 of a billion to arrive at 1/2 billion. 1/2 billion divided by number of outstanding shares should equal fair market value for current share price. In reality, the current market cap is approx $400 million, therefore, using my calculation above it would show that HEXO is currently undervalued by 25%. I do know however that the SP also reflects sentiment toward the stock, therefore i understand why it is priced lower right now.
Or perhaps HEXO, relative to other LP's is worth $2bn, it is all according to what metrics you compare with.