PyroGenesis Inc T.PYR

Pyro - $2.2 Billion Revenue 12-24 Months Forecast Update

[BIGMOE]

Latest forecast update as follows:

 

1. Contract backlog 2021/22

 

1. 44.9 million (End of Q3/21)
2. 32.1 million (End of Q2/21)
3. 26 million (End of Q1/21)

 
 

2. $65 million contracts signing confirmed by Peter, next 6 months Oct /21

 

1. $1.8 million – Medical Waste Torch Contract
2. $6 million – Client B Torch Contract
3. $5 million - Biogas Purification System Contract
4. $0.267 million – Tata Contract
5. $1.15 million – Ceramic Powder Processing System
6. $9.2 million – Land Based Destruction System
7. $0.35 million – Progressive Planet (Glass Nanoparticles)
8. $4 million – 10 Ton Dross Contract Middle East
9. $0.273 million – Torch for European Research Center
10. $36.81 million still outstanding contract to be announced

 
 

3. Torch Contracts – Estimated Revenue $1275.07 million next 2 years

 

1. Client A
   1. $1.8 million – One Torch contract
      1. $0.55 million – Maintenance and service contract over 2 years

 

2. FAT is scheduled from Feb 8-14/22

 

3. $105 million – Requested quote for 36 units
   1. $19.8 million – Maintenance 2 years at cost of $275 k/torch/year.  However, the torch will last 20 to 25 years. More spare parts and service revenue

 

4. $584 million – Over 500 Torch is required, Contract 500 units about $1.46 Billion assume over 5 years or $584 Million for the next 2 years.  Average cost $2.92 million/torch of 3 MW
   1. $110 million - Maintenance over 2 years

 
 
 

1. Client B
   1. $6 million – Four Torch contract
      1. $2.2 million – Maintenance and service contract over 2 years
   2. $78 million – 130 Torch is required at cost of $195 million, I assume it will take 5 years.
      1. $19.8 million – Client B Torch maintenance 2 years at cost of $275 k/torch/year.  However, the torch will last 20 to 25 years. More spare parts and service revenue

 

2. Client C
   1. $210 million – Estimated 350 Torch is required over 5 years.  Next 2 years estimated requirements of 140 Torch.  Today’s interview by Peter stated that Client A, B and C requires over 1000 Torches
      1. $77 million – Maintenance cost over 2 years

 

3. Medical Waste Contract
   1. $1.8 million – Two torch for medical waste

 
 

4. Future Torch Contracts
   1. $30 million - Algoma Steel 8-10 burners estimated
   2. $30 million - Dofasco Steel (Hamilton) 8-10 burners estimated

 

5. Cost Analysis
   1. $250 k Annual cost saving (report from Sweden)
   2. $280 k Annual CO2 saving/grant (2021 based on Canada Government)
   3. $530 k Annual cost saving/torch
   4. Payback about 3 years/torch

 
 

4. Dross Contract – Estimated Revenue of $130 million over the next 2 years

 

1. $40 million - Bidding for Dross contract above average change to win.
   1. $10 million – Spare parts over 2 years
2. $40 million - Additional contract in progress for $40 million on 2^nd dross.
   1. $10 million – Spare parts over 2 years
3. $15 million of LOI announcement on Dross contract
   1. $5 million – Spare parts over 2 years
4. Aluminum Dross Residues Conversion - $10 million estimate

 
 

5. Waste Destruction System - $643.6 million over the next 2 years
   1. Land base system
   2. $9.2 million land-based system announced, plus two additional units $18.4 million possible in the near future
   3. Example – Town of Easton, MA Population 25 k (2018)
      1. $9.2 million contract for 25 k people and cleaning up PFAS.
      2. Land based system for Pyro is limitless and huge business over $100 billion just USA only.
      3. Population=330 million/25 k=13.2k*9.2m=$121.44 billions
      4. Assume two (2) projects per month for the next 24 months.  $10 million/project*2*24months=$480 millions
      5. US Government will fund for all the projects and waiting for Congress to approve the spending bills.

 

4. Canada – 63 locations for hotspot
   1. $9.2 million contract for 25 k people and cleaning up PFAS.
   2. Assume we need 4 units per locations
   3. Cost estimate over $2.3 billions
   4. Assume 5% of the contract materialize over 24 months
   5. Estimated about $116 millions

 
 

6. Powder Contract - Estimated Revenue of $15.35 million over the next 2 years

 

1. $5 million - Powder contract unknown, assume $5 million for Auto/Aerospace
2. $0.35 million – Progressive Planet (Nanoparticles)

 
 

7. Pyro Green Gas - Estimated Revenue of $20.267 million over the next 2 years

 

1. Purchasing Air Science Technologies Inc - $5 million in revenue
2. Over 12.8 million in revenue backlog
3. Biogas Purification System Contract - $5 million
4. Tata contract $0.267 million
5. Green Hydrogen Production

 
 

8. HPQ Investment - Estimated Revenue of $16.15 million over the next 2 years

 

1. Nano Reactor (HPQ Alliance, Battery and EV) revenue unknown, assume $5 million

 

2. HPQ Nano Reactor (Fumed Silica for medical devises), estimated $5 million – potential addressable $2 billion market/year

 

3. Research Grants $5 million estimate

 

4. Research Grants $1.15 million Ceramic Powder

 
 
Just add the number $2,157.357 Million in revenue expected as of Feb 10/22.  Next 12 to 24 Months.
Cash on hand around $15.8 Million end of Q3/21
 
Revenue Q3/21 – $9.3 Million
Revenue Q2/21 - $8.3 Million
Revenue Q1/21 – $6.3 Million