RE:expected dividend increaseTheir Feb presentation shows $1.1B of free funds flow at $80 oil which is their new base case (it was $70 in the Kan presentation). They're planning to put 50% of that $1.1B to dividends and buybacks. Slide 8 shows $416M of leftover funds (after buybacks) they could use to increase the dividend.
Slide 9 shows the existing dividend only costs $170M so they could double the dividend and still have $75M leftover. I don't think they'll do that but a 30-40% dividend increase or a $1/share special dividend are definite possibilities.