Example : Husky's Rush Lake 1Many of the large projects I recall were 9 - 12 months, "pre-heating", steam then first oil.
Eigen337 makes a case for 9 mo.
8 weeks is doable according the example of Rush Lake 1.
But I'll stick with my expectation of 4 to 6 months for Marwayne. But surprise me.
BTW Rush Lake 2 got sanctioned ahead of schedule (I think Nov 2015) due to results acheived at Rush Lake 1. In fact before Rush Lake acheived its name plate.
2014-12-12
The company said start of production from the 10,000-b/d Rush Lake project is planned for third-quarter 2015 while the 10,000-b/d Edam East project is slated for third-quarter 2016.
Husky said 3-month project delays for both projects were not due to falling oil prices.
[url=https://https://www.ogj.com/drilling-production/drilling-operations/article/17271577/independent-assessment-hikes-husky-heavy-oil-resources]https://www.ogj.com/drilling-production/drilling-operations/article/17271577/independent-assessment-hikes-husky-heavy-oil-resources[/url]
2015-05-21
Husky Energy Inc. has started commercial steam operations at the 10,000-b/d Rush Lake heavy oil thermal project in Saskatchewan
..
Rush Lake, which began steam operations about 8 weeks ahead of schedule, is expected to ramp up to full production “in a short time period,” the company said.
Then
8 weeks later this
2015-07-17
Husky Energy Inc., Calgary, reported startup of production from its Rush Lake heavy oil thermal project in Saskatchewan, some 8 weeks after startup of commercial steaming operations
The Rush Lake project is expected to reach its nameplate production capacity of 10,000 b/d by yearend. Husky said three other thermal projects are under construction in the Lloydminster area with startups planned for 2016.