RE:Rock won’t answer so I ask Bogfit and everyone You just haven’t been paying attention as I have offered a running analysis of the war. Since the beginning. As far as how the war should proceed, I believe that the Ukrainian army has a winning strategy and that we should support them with every weapon at our disposal.
February 27, 2022 -
Post# 34466490
Ukrainian war.
Sun Tzu said that victory is gained before the battle. Ukraine is fighting the war they anticipated, and Russia is not.
b.
March 02, 2022 -
Post# 34477282
Ukrainian War
The first move in chess is whites. It is the only advantage white has at the start of the game. The advantage is that white gets to choose what game is to be played, and in miliary parlance called “the initiative". If used properly it is advantageous by reducing the number of options his opponent has available. in other words, white can dictate to black what black will or can do. Tonight Ukraine is white.
Russia had the initiative when they crossed the border; however due to ineptitude, poor discipline, or raw arrogance, all of which will become the source of study for generations of students, Russian lost the advantage when their forces stalled having met with firm resistance.
Now Russia is attempting to adjust their battle plan while their army is in the field (very risky) and so widely dispersed as to be unable to concentrate for effect. The three-pronged attack Russia implemented was based upon a successful 3-day blitzkrieg, not for an extended occupation. Putin’s plan IMO represents a violation of the basic principle of armor warfare as taught by Guderian, that of an armor breakthrough followed by German Infantry divisions. By spreading his forces, Putin denied his generals the opportunity to concentrate proportionally larger forces against a weaker line.
I suspect that (Russian) command and control is degrading as public support and political intrigue expand.
March 01, 2022 -
Post# 34470883
IMO Russia doesn’t have the numbers to encircle Kiev.
This isn’t the battle of annihilation which is what the Red Army is equipped to fight. The problem Putin faces is he is outnumbered in ground troops and is facing a determined enemy with only demoralized conscripts.
One of the really important lessons from Stalingrad was municipal rubble becomes a defensive position for infantry.
The Russian army is too widely dispersed, this another result of their failure to appreciate the strength of the resistance.
When will they understand that missiles don’t hold ground.
b.
March 03, 2022
Post# 34481104
Renault Taxi de la Marne
What the Ukrainians have is guts, numbers, stingers, javelins, and Uber.
Other than that, I have no idea of the Ukrainian Army’s capacity. What might be worth considering (if feasible) is an attack behind the Russian lines advancing toward Odessa as that would threaten logistics to any westward advance by the southern army group. Sea replenishment is not possible as no provision has been made to stockpile material nor provide for shipping, presently supply lines from occupied territory to front line is nearly 500 miles.
It been said that the best defense is offense, and nothing focusses a commander’s attention more than reports of the enemy in their rear.
b.
Today the Ukrainian army appears to be advancing precisely where I suspected opportunities might lay, and due to precisely the deficiencies in the Russia Army that I observed.
b.