Aumega Metals Ord Shs AUMMF

RE:DRILLING PROGRAM IN 2021 :

[SNgu8000]

Matador Mining (MZZ) Rating: Buy | Risk: High | Price Target: $0.80 Window Glass Hill drilling success continues, Marathon’s finish line is within sight Andrew Hines | Head of Research [phone] [e-mail] Michael Clark | Analyst [phone] [e-mail] Kristian Stella | Analyst [phone] [e-mail] Event Matador has released the final assay results from its diamond drilling completed in late 2021 at its Cape Ray Shear Project in Newfoundland, Canada. The results are encouraging and include an intercept at Window Glass Hill (WGH) of 14m at 4.5g/t gold from 88m, including 1m @ 27.4 g/t. The company is continuing its winter drill programme of ~4,000m and will pursue infill and extension drilling in the summer season. In other positive news for Matador, neighbouring developer Marathon Mining’s Valentine Gold Project (50km NE) has been released from the Provincial Environmental Approval (EA) process. Both provincial and federal EA releases are preconditions for mine permitting and construction. In our view a successful EA process from Marathon may pave the way for MZZ’s environmental permitting down the track, as it progresses towards mining. Highlights • MZZ is exploring for gold in the Cape Ray Shear in Newfoundland, Canada. Ian Murray (ex Goldroad) is Executive Chairman and recent exploration results are encouraging. Drilling results highlight the potential for the Cape Ray Shear to host multiple, high grade, shallow deposits. There is an active drilling program planned in 2022, and the company appears to be well capitalised with a cash position of ~A$11m (Dec21q). • Shaw and Partners hosted an investor seminar in 2021 focussed on the province and featuring Matador, Maritime Resources and New Found Gold. The region is highly prospective but lightly explored and is currently experiencing an exploration boom. • The 14m @ 4.5g/t intercept is one of the best intercepts to date at WGH. This follows other results at WGH which indicate that the Window Glass Hill Granite (WGHG) is more extensively mineralised than previously identified. The 2020 Angus discovery may be part of much larger mineralised system on the WGHG. • Despite its obvious prospectivity the Cape Ray Shear is very lightly explored. A key reason is that large sections of the Cape Ray Shear lie beneath a shallow glacial till cover, and only the outcropping mineralized zones have been drilled. Matador has been using a geochemical ‘pathfinder’ approach to identify likely drill targets and is now quickly and relatively inexpensively testing these targets using its purpose built ATV-mounted auger drills. • The ATV-mounted auger drilling can penetrate to a depth of 10m and obtain samples of the basement rocks beneath the glacial till cover. The advantage of this approach is that it can quickly identify which targets warrant follow-up diamond drilling, and which targets can be ruled out. This will accelerate the exploration effort as well make it very cost effective. • Marathon Gold last week announced that its Valentine Gold Project (50km to the NE of MZZ) has received Provincial Approval. The project has been released from the Provincial Environmental Approval (EA) process by the Newfoundland Government. The announcement allows Marathon to commence site-specific permitting processes, including the acquisition of the Project’s Mining lease. The Project remains subject to the final release of the parallel Federal EA Process, for which a press release was made signifying the start of an up to 30-day review period for public comment. • Marathon’s provincial approval is an important step for MZZ, given they are effectively paving the way for the environmental permitting process. Both a provincial and federal Environmental Approval releases are pre-conditions for mine permitting and construction. Recommendation In our view Matador is a cheap exposure to an exciting new gold exploration province. We retain our Buy recommendation and A$0.80ps price target. We have set our price target at a fully diluted DCF valuation. Key Information Current Price ($ps) 0.28 12m Target Price ($ps) 0.80 52 Week Range ($ps) 0.27 - 0.57 Target Price Upside (%) 189.1% TSR (%) 189.1% Reporting Currency AUD Market Cap ($m) 59 Sector Materials Avg Daily Volume (m) 0.7 ASX 200 Weight (%) 0% Fundamentals YE 30 Jun (AUD) FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E Sales ($m) 0 0 0 238 NPAT ($m) (4) (2) (4) 83 EPS (cps) (2.2) (0.9) (1.5) 25.6 EPS Growth (%) 16.1% 59.0% (72.1%) nm DPS (cps) (AUD) 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 Franking (%) 0% 0% 0% 0% Ratios YE 30 Jun FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E P/E (x) (20.8) (31.0) (18.0) 1.1 EV/EBITDA (x) (18.6) (18.0) (17.4) 0.4 Div Yield (%) 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 18.2% Payout Ratio (%) 0.0% 0.0% (65.4%) 19.5% Price Performance YE 30 Jun 1 Mth 2 Mth 3 Mth 1 Yr Relative (%) (9.1%) (28.4%) (18.3%) (20.0%) Absolute (%) (8.3%) (26.7%) (19.1%) (11.3%) Benchmark (%) 0.8% 1.7% (0.8%) 8.7% Major Shareholders Maple Mining 13.5% Nero Funds 6.0% Terra Capital 5.0% Shaw and Partners MZZ – Equity Report current as at –21/03/2022–Pg. 2 Matador is a gold exploration company with exploration tenements in the lightly explored but highly prospective Cape Ray Shear Zone in Newfoundland, Canada. The Cape Ray Shear Zone is a geological structure that extends approximately 400 km through Newfoundland. Matador is the largest holder of ground with approximately 120km of continuous strike along the shear, of which only 15km has been drilled. Matador Mining Materials Materials FactSet: MZZ-AU / Bloomberg: MZZ AU Key Items Data Recommendation BUY Risk HIGH Price ($ps) 0.28 Target Price ($ps) 0.80 52 Week Range ($ps) 0.27 - 0.57 Shares on Issue (m) 215 Market Cap ($m) 59 Enterprise Value ($m) 57 TSR (%) 189.1% Valuation NPV Data Beta 1.30 Cost of Equity (%) 9.3% Cost of Debt (net) (%) 4.0% Risk Free Rate (%) 4.0% Terminal Growth (%) 0.0% WACC (%) 8.0% Financial Year End: 30 June Investment Summary (AUD) FY20A FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E EPS (Reported) (cps) (2.6) (2.2) (0.9) (1.5) 25.6 EPS (Underlying) (cps) (2.6) (2.2) (0.9) (1.5) 25.6 EPS (Underlying) Growth (%) 55.6% 16.1% 59.0% (72.1%) nm PE (Underlying) (x) (11.6) (20.8) (31.0) (18.0) 1.1 EV / EBIT (x) (22.9) (18.4) (18.0) (17.4) 0.5 EV / EBITDA (x) (23.1) (18.6) (18.0) (17.4) 0.4 DPS (cps) (AUD) 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 Dividend Yield (%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 18.2% Franking (%) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Payout Ratio (%) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% (65.4%) 19.5% Profit and Loss (AUD) (m) FY20A FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E Sales 0 0 0 0 238 Other Operating Income 0 2 2 2 2 EBITDA (2) (3) (3) (3) 138 EBITDA Margin (%) nm nm nm nm 58.2% Depreciation & Amortisation 0 0 0 0 (23) EBIT (2.5) (3.1) (3.1) (3.3) 115.8 EBIT Margin (%) nm nm nm nm 48.7% Net Interest 0 0 1 (2) (4) Pretax Profit (2) (3) (2) (5) 111 Tax 0 (1) 1 1 (28) Tax Rate (%) 0.0% 17.5% (25.0%) (25.0%) (25.0%) NPAT Underlying (2) (4) (2) (4) 83 Significant Items 0 0 0 0 0 NPAT Reported (2) (4) (2) (4) 83 Cashflow (AUD) (m) FY20A FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E EBIT (2) (3) (3) (3) 116 Payments to Suppliers (2) (2) (3) (3) (99) Receipts from Customers 0 0 0 0 238 Tax Paid 0 0 (1) 1 1 Change in Working Capital 0 0 0 0 (28) Depreciation & Amortisation 0 0 0 0 23 Other 0 0 1 (2) (27) Operating Cashflow (2) (2) (3) (5) 107 Capex 0 (0) 0 (148) (1) Acquisitions and Investments (5) (9) (9) (9) (9) Disposal of Fixed Assets/Investments 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 Investing Cashflow (5) (10) (9) (157) (11) Equity Raised / Bought Back 7 31 0 70 0 Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 (7) Change in Debt (0) 0 0 100 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 Financing Cashflow 6 31 0 170 (7) Exchange Rate Effect 0 0 0 0 0 Net Change in Cash (1) 20 (12) 8 90 Balance Sheet (AUD) (m) FY20A FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E Cash 2 22 10 17 107 Accounts Receivable 0 1 1 1 20 Inventory 0 0 0 0 16 Other Current Assets 0 0 0 0 0 PPE 15 26 35 193 181 Total Assets 18 49 46 211 324 Accounts Payable 0 6 6 6 13 Short Term Debt 0 0 0 0 0 Long Term Debt 0 0 0 100 100 Total Liabilities 0 7 6 105 141 Ratios FY20A FY21A FY22E FY23E FY24E ROE (%) (17.1%) (12.1%) (4.5%) (5.6%) 57.7% Gearing (%) (15.4%) (108.6%) (31.2%) 43.7% (4.2%) Net Debt / EBITDA (x) 1.0 7.2 3.1 (25.4) (0.1) Shaw and Partners MZZ – Equity Report current as at –21/03/2022–Pg. 3 Key risks • The gold price is volatile and driven as much by geopolitical events as fundamental supply and demand. As such, the price of gold is relatively difficult to forecast, and the actual price may differ substantially from our forecasts. • Matador Mining is predominantly an exploration company and therefore carries significant exploration risk. There is no guarantee that future exploration results will be positive. • The Cape Ray Gold Project is not yet producing and there is a risk that Matador is unable to bring the operation in to production. The project may cost more than expected to build and may not operate as expected. • Matador is facing a significant financing challenge to develop the Cape Ray project. There is a risk that capital markets are not willing to fund the project. • Smaller companies carry more significant ‘key personnel’ risk than larger organisations. If senior management depart the company, then it could delay projects or exacerbate operational risks. Core drivers and catalyst • Matador has exploration tenementsin the lightly explored but highly prospective Cape Ray Shear Zone in Newfoundland, Canada. The Cape Ray Shear Zone is a geological structure that extends approximately 400 km through Newfoundland. • Matador is the largest holder of ground along the Cape Ray Shear, with approximately 120km of continuous strike along the shear. The Company’s total holding in Newfoundland stands at 425km2. • Matador released a Scoping Study in 2020 proposing a 1.2 Mtpa standalone mining and processing operation. The preliminary economics indicate the Project has positive financial metrics over an initial mine life of 7 years with capital payback during the first 1.75 years of the Project’s life • Cape Ray’s current resource stands at 840koz at 2g/t, with 96% of the resource less than 200m from surface. • Matador’s corporate strategy is to increase its resource base to a size that will support a 10-year operation. This will come from a combination of expanding the resource at existing discoveries and drilling at greenfield targets. • Matador has completed a 323km ground magnetic survey, and in combination with soil and rock chip sampling, and person portable drilling has identified a further 33 drill targets. The drilling is expected to aggressively ramp up in 2021/22 to test the new greenfield targets that have been identified. • The Matador board was restructured in 2020 including the appointment of Executive Chairman Ian Murray who helped build Gold Road from an explorer into a +$1bn company. Justin Osborne (Gold Road) and Mick Wilkes (Oceania Gold) have also joined as Non-Executive Directors. Shaw and Partners MZZ – Equity Report current as at –21/03/2022–Pg. 4 Rating Classification Buy Expected to outperform the overall market Hold Expected to perform in line with the overall market Sell Expected to underperform the overall market Not Rated Shaw has issued a factual note on the company but does not have a recommendation Risk Rating High Higher risk than the overall market – investors should be aware this stock may be speculative Medium Risk broadly in line with the overall market Low Lower risk than the overall market RISK STATEMENT: Where a company is designated as ‘High’ risk, this means that the analyst has determined that the risk profile for this company is significantly higher than for the market as a whole, and so may not suit all investors. Clients should make an assessment as to whether this stock and its potential price volatility is compatible with their financial objectives. Clients should discuss this stock with their Shaw adviser before making any investment decision. Distribution of Investment Ratings History of Investment Rating and Target Price - Matador Mining Rating Count Recommendation UniverseBuy 99 85%Hold 16 14%Sell 2 2%Date Closing Price ($) Target Price ($) Rating 4-Oct-21 0.37 0.80 Buy 5-Jul-21 0.50 0.80 Buy 12-May-21 0.42 0.80 Buy 5-Aug-20 0.46 0.80 Buy XLFT C05254 KEY D,0 DIM 11 0 132 Disc_pricerating_b03/19 06/19 09/19 12/19 03/20 06/20 09/20 12/20 03/21 06/21 09/21 12/21 03/22 $0.0 $0.1 $0.2 $0.3 $0.4 $0.5 $0.6 $0.7 $0.8 $0.9 Matador Mining Target Price Buy Shaw and Partners MZZ – Equity Report current as at –21/03/2022–Pg. 5 Disclaimer Shaw and Partners Limited ABN 24 003 221 583 (“Shaw”) is a Participant of ASX Limited, Cboe Australia Pty Limited and holder of Australian Financial Services Licence number 236048. ANALYST CERTIFICATION: The Research Analyst who prepared this report hereby certifies that the views expressed in this document accurately reflect the analyst's personal views about the Company and its financial products. Neither Shaw nor its Research Analysts received any direct financial or non-financial benefits from the company for the production of this document. However, Shaw Research Analysts may receive assistance from the company in preparing their research which can include attending site visits and/or meetings hosted by the company. In some instances the costs of such site visits or meetings may be met in part or in whole by the company if Shaw considers it is reasonable given the specific circumstances relating to the site visit or meeting. As at the date of this report, the Research Analyst does not hold, either directly or through a controlled entity, securities in the Company that is the subject of this report, or where they do hold securities those interests are not material. Shaw restricts Research Analysts from trading in securities outside of the ASX/S&P100 for which they write research. Other Shaw employees may hold interests in the company, but none of those interests are material. DISCLAIMER: This report is published by Shaw to its clients by way of general, as opposed to personal, advice. This means it has been prepared for multiple distribution without consideration of your investment objectives, financial situation and needs (“Personal Circumstances”). Accordingly, the advice given is not a recommendation that a particular course of action is suitable for you and the advice is therefore not to be acted on as investment advice. You must assess whether or not the advice is appropriate for your Personal Circumstances before making any investment decisions. You can either make this assessment yourself, or if you require a personal recommendation, you can seek the assistance of your Shaw client adviser. This report is provided to you on the condition that it not be copied, either in whole or in part, distributed to or disclosed to any other person. If you are not the intended recipient, you should destroy the report and advise Shaw that you have done so. This report is published by Shaw in good faith based on the facts known to it at the time of its preparation and does not purport to contain all relevant information with respect to the financial products to which it relates. The research report is current as at the date of publication until it is replaced, updated or withdrawn. Although the report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Shaw does not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, complete or up to date and Shaw accepts no obligation to correct or update the information or opinions in it. If you rely on this report, you do so at your own risk. Any projections are indicative estimates only and may not be realised in the future. Such projections are contingent on matters outside the control of Shaw (including but not limited to market volatility, economic conditions and company-specific fundamentals) and therefore may not be realised in the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Except to the extent that liability under any law cannot be excluded, Shaw disclaims liability for all loss or damage arising as a result of any opinion, advice, recommendation, representation or information expressly or impliedly published in or in relation to this report notwithstanding any error or omission including negligence. Depending on the timing and size of your investment, your portfolio composition may differ to the model. Performance figures are derived from the inception date of the model and its investment transactions from that date, therefore the performance for your portfolio may be different. If you have any questions in connection with differences between your portfolio and the model, you should speak with your adviser. IMPORTANT INFORMATION TO CONSIDER: It is important that before making a decision to invest in a Shaw Managed Accounts, a managed fund, an exchange traded fund, an individual hybrid security or listed debt instrument that you read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (“PDS”). The PDS will contain information relevant to the specific product, including the returns, features, benefits and risks. The PDS can be found at: www.shawandpartners.com.au/media/1348/shawmanagedaccounts_pds.pdf. RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH HYBRID SECURITIES: Hybrid securities and listed debt instruments differ from investments in equities and cash products in a number of important respects. The liquidity risk associated with an investment in hybrid securities and listed debt instruments will generally be greater than that associated with equities. The credit risk associated with hybrid securities and listed debt instruments is higher than that of a cash product or term deposit. Some hybrid securities may be perpetual in nature, meaning that they can only be redeemed or exchanged for cash or equity at the issuer’s option. Hybrids may also contain terms which automatically trigger the deferral of an interest payment or cause the issuer to repay the hybrid earlier or later than anticipated. ASIC has published information to assist consumers in understanding the risks and benefits associated with an investment in hybrid securities or listed debt instruments. This information can be found under the heading ‘Complex Investments’ at www.moneysmart.gov.au/investing. DISCLOSURE: Shaw will charge commission in relation to client transactions in financial products and Shaw client advisers will receive a share of that commission. Shaw, its authorised representatives, its associates and their respective officers and employees may have earned previously or may in the future earn fees and commission from dealing in the Company's financial products. Shaw acted for the company in a corporate capacity within the past 12 months for which it received a fee. Sydney | Head Office Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Canberra Perth Noosa Level 7, Chifley Tower Level 36 Level 28 Level 23 Level 7 Level 20 Suite 11a Q Place 2 Chifley Square 120 Collins Street 111 Eagle Street 91 King William Street 54 Marcus Clarke Street 108 St Georges Terrace 2 Quamby Place Sydney NSW 2000 Melbourne VIC 3000 Brisbane QLD 4000 Adelaide SA 5000 Canberra ACT 2600 Perth WA 6000 Noosa Heads QLD 4567 Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Telephone: [phone] Toll Free: 1800 636 625 Toll Free: 1800 150 009 Toll Free: 1800 463 972 Toll Free: 1800 636 625 Toll Free: 1800 636 625 Toll Free: 1800 198 003 Toll Free: 1800 271 201 Holder of Australian Financial Services Licence Number 236048 | A