RE:One more look at the new 90 day optimized dataI agree Eoga and nice Job, Yet even if TLT had put your analysis out there they still might have sold off 30%. Look at what happened to Briacell after annoucning they gained FastTrack status!!
Eoganacht wrote: I changed the percentages to patient counts for the recent 90 day numbers for the:
23 patients enrolled and treated in Study II who received an optimized primary study treatment
CR = 12
PR = 4
Pending = 3
NR = 4
Potential CR = 82%
In the last newsletter there were 18 post-Aug 20 2020 optimized patients
CR = 8
PR = 2
Pending = 7
NR = 1
Potential CR = 94.4%
In the period between the two news releases 7 patients reached 90 days and 5 more patients were treated for a total of 12 patients. Of these 12 patients there were:
CR = 4
PR = 2
Pending = 3
NR = 3
Potential CR = 75%
Out of these 12 patients 3 patients (25%) were NR. The results of just these 3 patients accounts for the drop in 90 day potential CR. We will probably never know what happened with these 3 probably very sick and elderly patients but given where we are in the trial it will likely have little overall effect. If you flip a coin 12 times you won't likely get 6 heads and 6 tails. You might get 4 tails and 8 heads. But if you fip a coin 100 times it will be much closer to 50% heads and 50% tails. If those 3 patients had been CR or PR we would have a 90 day potential CR of 96% and the sp would have reached new heights IMHO. But this isn't the first time Theralase's sp has taken an unexpected and unwarranted hit.