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ARC Resources Ltd T.ARX

Alternate Symbol(s):  AETUF

ARC Resources Ltd. is a Canadian energy company. It is focused on the exploration, development, and production of unconventional natural gas, condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil in western Canada. Its operations are focused in the Montney region in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. Its operations in Alberta are located near Grande Prairie and the region includes Kakwa and Ante Creek. Kakwa is a condensate-rich and high-deliverability natural gas play with top-tier development opportunities. Its operations in northeast British Columbia are located near Dawson Creek and the region includes Greater Dawson, Sunrise, Attachie, and Septimus and Sundown. The Greater Dawson operating area includes Dawson Phases I, II, III and IV and Parkland. The Attachie is a condensate-rich, natural gas play primed for large-scale development. Sunrise is a dry natural gas play with a low-cost structure, well deliverability and direct connectivity to liquefied natural gas Canada.


TSX:ARX - Post by User

Comment by GunnerGon Nov 07, 2022 11:59am
104 Views
Post# 35079148

RE:ARC objectives Luke Warm- leaves people looking for more!

RE:ARC objectives Luke Warm- leaves people looking for more! SP Sept 1, 2021 the start of the first NCIB the previous day close was $8.70.  

The high so far today is $20.02.  Only up 130%.   Dividends have gone for .06 to .15.  Only up 150%.

Your comments that start with "My understanding is that..." is a dead give away you don't have a good understanding.  So please stop.

Under "Kakwa" you say it is a good thing happening in 2023 and the last sentence its under funded.  Make up your mind doofus, is it good or bad.  Last year 50% of capex went to Kakwa and this year 70% ($1.1 B).

Hedges in Q3 lost a net $6.4 M.  Not "big dough".  We have all said they would fall off dramatically.

Go away doofus.  As usual, your comments are worth nothing.


MyHoneyPot wrote: I think that the rerating that everyone is looking for, considering they purchased 20.9 million shares a third of their NCIB.

Frankly your not seeing investors enthusiatic rerating of the stock, even with 20.9 million share purchased in a quarter, close to 400 million dollars worth of stock, No rerating? How many shares do they have to buy back before it significantly impacts the price, they have bought back 13% of the float.

13% Float is somewhere between $2.50 - $2.60 a share. So do you think shareholders would be better off with an additional $2.50 in dividends?

Kakwa
The good thing for 2023 is that they are going to spend more money at Kakwa. Finally some production increases.

Sunrise
My understanding is that the reason Sunrise has not been expanded to date it because they could not get the permits, has something changed? Is this a real budget based on what they currently can do, or is it subject to first nations agreements, that they don't have. 

I was hoping to see a lot more production from Kakwa, but at least it was not another quarter of decline. 

I think buying back shares even 20 million of them, has not got the attention of the investment community, and unfortunately in this case it is because they don't have other places to deploy the capital, that is a drag on the stock. 

I sold all my shares when is saw it pop over $20 dollars, and will buy back in when i hear there is tangable progress with treaty8. Or maybe on a big market downday. It will be 2 more quarters until we see a quarter without the huge, losses associated to a failed hedging strategy. 

Current Overhangs on the stock.

Lack of Kakwa funding, Sunrise not sanctioned, Attachie not sanctioned, Hedges bleed big dough

IMHO




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