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Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta. It also consists of two operating oil sands steam assisted gravity drainage projects and a resource base of exploration areas in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The Light Oil segment includes its assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of light crude oil and medium crude oil, tight oil and conventional natural gas. Its Light Oil segment consists exclusively of the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area with about 155,000 gross acres across Kaybob West, Kaybob North, Kaybob East and Two Creeks.


TSX:ATH - Post by User

Post by MLEWICKIMBAon Mar 02, 2023 3:12am
265 Views
Post# 35314285

Excess Cash Flow and Sustaining Capital

Excess Cash Flow and Sustaining Capital The Excess Cash Flow and Sustaining Capital measures allow management and others to evaluate the Company’s ability to return capital to Shareholders. Sustaining Capital is managements assumption of the required capital to maintain the Company’s production base. The Excess Cash Flow measure is calculated by Adjusted Funds Flow less Sustaining Capital.

2023 Guidance:

Production:  34.500 to 36,000 boe/d (Expect it to 37,000)
Adjusted Fund Flows:  415M 
Capital Exp. 145M
Free Cash Flow: 270M 

That means 75% of 270M is 202.5M.

202.5M divided by 3.01 SP as of yesterday means 67M shares can be retired.
202.50 divide by 4.00 SP in a few months time means that 50M shares can be retired.

So the shares can go to 4.00 in one to two months.  Maybe April 2, 2023.

50M shares is 8% of shares outstanding.  

Now if the price of oil is $10 USD higher in a few months time from now then the shares can be $4.25 to $4.50.

God bless oil and gas investors and oil and gas workers and their firms.

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