RE:RE:RE:WTI oil dropping like a RockOne thing I learnt a long time ago was that I could not forecast oil supply or demand and am quite skeptical of people who say they can. Too complex. Too political. We have seen IEA butt heads with OPEC and vice versa (https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-sec-gen-iea-should-be-very-careful-about-undermining-key-oil-investments-2023-04-27/). The oil futures market is very liquid BUT also not accurate hence Brent spot futures price bounces around and may be off from Brent contract price. Then there is the unknown of the PetroDollar.
Then there are crack spreads. Then there are aviation companies hedging jet fuel costs. Then there are taxes. I could go on and on but by the time a consumer is filling their car or diesel truck pump prices can be all but impossible to predict over long periods.