TSX:BPO.PR.A - Post by User
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SONOFFERGUSon Jul 23, 2024 5:58pm
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Post# 36145188
RE:B.O.C. Interest Rate Announcement
RE:B.O.C. Interest Rate AnnouncementHi Pierre.
I agree with you on both points. GoC5 has fully priced in 25bps IMO. Future cuts will be measured and the policy should settle in a rational spot -- 300bps? -- by the end of next year absent some sort of global crisis. If GoC5 stays put, we'd be back to a normal yield curve. I don't think long bonds have much room to strengthen given higher yields for the US and other western countries (ex Japan ofc).
I note that BPO.PR.A faces just three more rate announcements before reset. If the cuts are 25bps x 3, what will GoC5 be with a 4% policy rate? I don't think there is much downside to worry about here.
Best,
Sonoffergus