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Headwater Exploration Inc T.HWX

Alternate Symbol(s):  CDDRF

Headwater Exploration Inc. is a Canadian resource company engaged in the exploration for and development and production of petroleum and natural gas in Canada. The Company has heavy oil production and reserves in the Clearwater/Falher formations in the Marten Hills, Greater Nipisi and Greater Peavine areas of Alberta and natural gas production and reserves in the McCully field near Sussex, New Brunswick. The McCully Field is located approximately 10 kilometers (kms) northeast of Sussex, New Brunswick in the farming community of Penobsquis. It owns and operates a natural gas processing plant, with a processing capacity of approximately 35 mmscfpd, and a 50 km transmission line connected to the Maritimes and Northeast pipeline. The McCully Field is a winter producing asset connected to the northeast United States gas market. The Company drilled its first stratigraphic test and single-leg horizontal well, prospective for heavy oil, in Handel, Saskatchewan.


TSX:HWX - Post by User

Post by retiredcfon Jul 26, 2024 9:09am
197 Views
Post# 36149493

RBC

RBC

July 25, 2024

Headwater Exploration Inc. Q2/24 Results - Slightly Ahead of Street

TSX: HWX | CAD 7.24 | Sector Perform | Price Target CAD 9.00

Sentiment: Neutral

Headwater released Q2/24 results which featured a slight beat on production volumes of 19,805 boe/d, driving CFPS of $0.37, on a capital program of $51 million. The company reiterated 2024 capital and production guidance of $200 million and 20,000 boe/ d respectively (exit 21,500 boe/d). In tandem management outlined several encouraging step-out results; we also await longer- term rates and regional extensions to further derisk newer exploration blocks.

Details:

Q2/24 Results - Slight Beat. HWX recorded Q2/24 production volumes of 19,805 boe/d (RBC: 19,310 boe/d; Street: 19,691 boe/ d) driving AAFO (f.d) of $0.37/sh (RBC/Street: $0.35/0.35 2024). Capital expenditures were slightly above expectations at $51mm (RBC/Street: $45/$46mm), with the quarterly program including 18 wells in Marten Hills and 8 wells in Seal.

Guidance - Reiterated. 2024 guidance of 20,000 boe/d (Q4/24 exit: 21.5 mboe/d) was reiterated, with its 2024 capital budget pegged at $200mm with growth capital added into the second half (as previously disclosed) to align with TMX (note here).

Balance Sheet - In Good Shape. Headwater maintains a strong balance sheet with positive working capital of $72 million, and generating $24 million in FCF for the quarter. The company has capacity to pursue accelerated development (including the accelerated capital expenditures and strategic acquisitions) including beyond the Clearwatear while retaining the flexibility to support its base dividend (currently $0.40 per share, annualized).

Marten Hills West/Core. In Q2/24, HWX drilled 18 wells within Marten Hills. In the southern Clearwater E well, 20-075-01W5 achieved an IP30 rate of 195 bbl/d (23 degree API), with a well at northern Clearwater E (076-02W5) featuring an IP15 of 155 bbl/ d and validated the Clearwater E to an estimated 25 sections in size. An additional southern Clearwater E well (07-075-01W5) is designed to be HWX's inaugural Clearwater E secondary recovery pilot with an injector currently being drilled and expected for injection in Q4/24. In Clearwater G, HWX drilled two wells during the quarter with 075-02W5 having an IP45 of 176 bbl/d (17 degree API). Expansion in the Clearwater Sandstone pool had a successful extension well (075-01W5) achieving an IP30 of 225 bbl/d (21 degree API). HWX noted that it will convert two additional sections to injection in Q3/24 (90% of core area in secondary recovery).

Pursuing organic growth opportunities. At Handel, a single lateral open hole well (01/01-30-035-18W3) is currently producing 84 bbl/d; 3D seismic is planned for Q3 for its next multi-lat program to start in Q1/25. At Seal, its 6-well program validated a commercial Bluesky pool estimated to be 15 sections and plans on testing its 49-section block at Little Horse. HWX's StingWray wells produced an average IP30 of 150-198 bbl/d (12-15 degree API) within the Falher B and continued delineation in Falher D.

Land Acquisitions. HWX added 3 net sections of Clearwater land (current total: 531 sections) during the quarter, and 15 net sections outside of the Clearwater (total: 192). HWX plans on testing its acreage at Clay (Bonnyville) with a multi-lat design in Q3.


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