Future projections pt 2 Based on the assumptions below including the Ziply assumptions. This is the thesis for the Ziply acquisition.
2025:
debt 43B
Revenue 25.5B (24.5 + 1 for Ziply)
opex 13.5B (13 +.5 for Ziply)
ebitda 12B (11.5 + .5 for Ziply)
margin 47.06%
capital intensity 16%
capex 4B
dep / amortization 4.8
tax 1B
interest 2.2B
earnings 4B
free cash 4.8B
dividend 3.8B
Dividend is 95% of earnings
Dividend is 79% of free cash
(I want to see that opex shrink even more though and really show productivity gains, I think 12B is possible if they can optimize with AI, 16 billion dollars is a huge amount of money to run and grow the business)