GREY:ROAOF - Post by User
Comment by
Kel2on Oct 18, 2004 11:49am
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Post# 8060473
RE: Playing poker with Canaccord
RE: Playing poker with CanaccordOilexco Inc. (OIL : TSX-V : C$3.50) - Speculative Buy
Mark Redway
Comment: Oilexco operations update
Oilexco has announced initial results from the first deviated hole at the
15/25e-11 location appraising the Brenda discovery in the North Sea. The
well encountered a different oil water contact (approx 30ft higher) to the
previous and closest well, 15/25b-10, located 1.5km to the southwest. This
suggests that the new well is testing a separate accumulation and also
means that Brenda, as we now know it, consists of three distinct
reservoirs. The reservoir quality and sands are of similar quality in
15/25e-11 to those in previous wells although it is estimated that the
gross oil pay is only around half that found in 15/25b-10 (25 ft as opposed
to 50ft). This could be seen as another successful appraisal well at
Brenda as without doubt oil has been encountered. However, it must be said
that it was expected the 11 well would be a simple extension to the 10
well. Given that it is not and that the thickness of the gross pay is less,
we believe it is prudent to cut Brenda's ultimate potentially recoverable
reserves from 200 to 140 mmbbls. We have also trimmed the probability of
success for reserves in excess of 60 mmbbls (from 50% to 40% for an
additional 40 mmbbls and from 30% to 20% for a further 40 mmbbls). The
shares remain a SPECULATIVE BUY as attractive upside still remains in the
near term.