Post by
mariorizzi on Jul 11, 2020 6:22pm
Tender is part of the takeover process
Shares trade at about $11. NAV is about $29. (The NAV is debatable, but clearly there is a lot of equity in the company and the base NAV is considerably higher than the share price.)
Question: The tender is for $12. While this is a deal, you should ask yourself, why would BAM do a tender, if they could just buy units on the open market for less.
Answer: The tender is not really relevant. BAM's goal is to take over the company because at anywhere near these prices, it's the deal of a lifetime. But they cannot announce a takeover at $12 because it would be completely unfair to unitholders. So, they do a tender and grab a few shares on the cheap from unitholders who desire "liquidity." This is good for BAM because it lets them get some units on the cheap, and when they finally announce the real takeover, it will cost them less to take over the whole company.
But, more than that, it sets an intrinsic price that sharehooder will accept. This is a very important concept. If in 6 months, BAM announces a takeover bid for $13 or for $14, it becomes very hard for unitholders to complain, because BAM will just say, "look, we did a tender at $12 a few months ago and 10% of unitholders were happy to get that price. Nobody forced them to tender, but they all did it. In fact, it was oversubscribed. So clearly, it was a totally fair price. And now we are offering a few bucks more, because we are very generous, you should be happy."
And just like that, BAM will get to take over BPY for less than 50% of book value.
Comment by
thenewsnake on Jul 11, 2020 9:53pm
If REIT sector snaps back fast BAM likely wouldnt take it over. If REIT sector continues to be weak over the next 12 months, they could do 1 or 2 more tenders, then take it private. I think REITS are poised to rally soon as the lockdown fever is ending. Cases/deaths spiking would likely only trigger a "7 days" to slow the spread, not a 3 month BS affair
Comment by
Lacas24 on Jul 13, 2020 5:23am
I agree 100% of your reasoning. Spot on. That's why I am hoarding prefered shares non stop. Either they pay me off at par or I am taking double digit rate until the end of time. Lol
Comment by
Lacas24 on Jul 15, 2020 8:31am
Thanks. I only have 2024 reset T series. BPYUP and no reset x and y series.
Comment by
NPCexe on Jul 15, 2020 11:20am
Just gonna hold on common shares only.. I hope it works out for all types of shares.
Comment by
rad10 on Jul 13, 2020 5:13pm
BAM known for playing hardball with its offspring. Wouldn't at all be surprised to see this go down as you describe.