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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Elgin Mining Inc ELGMF

GREY:ELGMF - Post Discussion

Elgin Mining Inc > time to sell?
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Post by billbuckner on Nov 15, 2012 10:21pm

time to sell?

Former goz holder here. Started buying in 2006. Suffered through the 2008 dip to 13 cents. Swore I learned many lessons through that fiasco, and I'm wondering if the writing is on the wall again for 2013. Maybe its just fear mongering by the media. Or maybe I'm just paying attention this time. But the outlook is bad, real bad, worldwide. There isnt any country that will escape it this time. If China and Germany are headed for recession, what the heck does that mean for Greece or the U.S.? Or worse yet, what does that mean to Canada?

I dont believe that American polititians are too pigheaded  not to compromise and prevent the train from rolling off the fiscal cliff. But the reality is, even with compromise, the recovery will slip back into recession. You can only ignore 16 trillion debt for so long.

So what does that mean for us here? In my opinion, we are worse off than when we were goz. That was just the time when goz 'ramped er up' to 10,000 oz per quarter. Unfortuneately, we are still producing at that break neck pace.Only dif is we have 60 mil more shares outstanding. Gold prices are higher, but for how long? I think gold is due for a huge correction. I hope I'm wrong.

Lupin provides zero value in these times. Especially their last 12,500 meters drilling. It doesn't seem like such a sure thing anymore. So its nothing but speculation. Spec stocks got hit the hardest in 08, and never did bounce back to their previous levels.

Bottom line is, we have had a nice little run here, b4 the panic hits. So the 75-80 cent price isn't horrible,especially after more disappointing earnings.  I think you will be able to buy back under 30.

Or, can someone tell me I'm full of pooh and don't know what I'm talkin about? I dunno, the last week sure seems like deja vu to me.

Billy

Comment by bullionbruce on Nov 16, 2012 12:49pm
Hello billbuckner,   I enjoyed your posts back in the GOZ days, as well as those of JohnM3 and, since the merger, those of boreps. All very interesting and informative.   Excellent post, and you may be right. I have a different take though. First, as to the macro environment I believe the situation is quite different than is was in 2008, at least in terms of the miners. If you recall ...more  
Comment by boreps on Nov 16, 2012 1:04pm
Hello Billy, Just few comment re. your post. Your concern for economy is understandable and the media adding a lot of fuel to the fire. My feeling is the the fear mongering reflecting the bottom and although the recovery may take many years, the worst is behind. We should be more concerned when politicians predicting blue skyes like in 2006-2007. The recession in which is defined as two quarters ...more  
Comment by boreps on Nov 16, 2012 1:17pm
Bruce, thanks for pointing out the November presentation. I didn't know about it.
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