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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Newstrike Brands Ltd NWKRF

"Newstrike Brands Ltd is a licensed producer and cultivator of medical cannabis based in Brantford, Ontario. The company cultivates and sells both forms including dried and fresh marihuana."

OTCPK:NWKRF - Post Discussion

Newstrike Brands Ltd > Tragically unHIP story is very simple. No conspiracies
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Post by mathandmass on Sep 06, 2018 1:13pm

Tragically unHIP story is very simple. No conspiracies

All the "stockmarket gurus" with their wild theories how someone is "manipulating". Lol. Nuthouse. The story is very simple. We're all here for the same reason: we got stuck holding a trash stock. And the reason why we got into this trash stock is because of how much it was crashing after the Aurora flop. We thought we were getting in at a significant discount, then we averaged down a few times, but it just kept sliding - from a once (ridiculous) $3.50 to $0.40. It's ok, we made a bet, but we were wrong. We did not calculate in a few things: that this is one of the worst managed companies in the sector. In fact, when Aurora refused to buy it saying it is a "terrible company", we should have paid attention. Those folks have done some due diligence. Yes, HIP is moving on general market momentum, but it fades quickly because there is nothing originating from the company itself to support it.

Here is the thing. Jay Wilgar is completely disinterested in running a business. He does bare minimum: got a license, got a couple of supply agreements (for undisclosed amounts, mind you, which would have been key to put ANY value on this majestic enterprise) - what everyone else did. Other than that - meh. Even providing regular corporate updates turned out too much of a task: where is the news on construction progress; extraction facility? Nothing.

Jay's plan has always been to sell the company at a premium and move along. Running a company, especially in such a competitive landscape is a hassle. One acquisition almost happened but fell through when the sharks came. No Jay is sitting looking at his phone waiting for another call. And it's not ringing. The reason for that is the sector has changed a lot in the last 9 months. Tons of companies, most are better run. It is also much easier to buy a few private producers than a public company with gazillion shares on hands.

It still can happen, but you know what? Companies are not always bought at a premium. What is premium for Jay and the board might not be a premium for you. Hell, even at $0.40 per share he probably would have made a sweet bank. Your average cost is a very different story. So even if acquisition comes, it might not be all you hoped for. It might be part of Jay's strategy in fact - keeping SP so low to make it a more attractive target. HIP is undervalued compared to other licensed producers with supply agreements. However, all we know is that in the 9 month nobody expressed any interest.

Even though your goal and Jay's goal somewhat align at this point (to get out of this thing) the results for you may vary. It sucks that HIP became such a massive value trap. I feel you. I am in the same boat. But as I've said a couple of months ago, there is only one thing that can be done - investor activism. Something that happened today with HEXO, when a large shareholder said: "Dudes, we believe you're not running this thing right." That can force Jay to do a bit more. The key to this is those private entitites who provided the previous 2 rounds of financing and are currently also stuck.

The way things are going, HIP could be back above $1 some time in October based on just general market tailwinds, however, between now and October it could also slide back to $0.50 and making the journey to above $1 is a 50/50 possibility. It is much easier from 0.80 but HIP fails to stay at $0.80 because in this "no man's land" between $0.50 and $1 you have to have some strong and constant PR going to reassure investors that all sort of things are happening. And this is not what HIP is doing. That's all there is to it. No "manipulation". There are much more interesting companies to manipulate if anybody really wanted to play those games. Take recent Cronos 28% drop and recovery. Cronos is at least visible, unlike HIP.

Comment by Ggeeman on Sep 06, 2018 1:28pm
its the underwriters who are playing games and all the hedge funds . if you can't read the paper trail than don't say it isn't happening . it clearly is ! This is a game of those who are in the know , and those on the outside who don't . it happens across the board not just one company . although i agree with most your points , not on this one. Its not a conspiracy and its being ...more  
Comment by TruthAboutHip on Sep 06, 2018 1:45pm
Ggeeman wrote: "I agree that someone has to speak out against the lack of information being handed down to shareholders ." Well I think that is what I have been tirelessly doing all along while you called me names such as "shorter" and "basher". I did this and continue to do so because I feel it is truly unjust how the morally bankrupt management continually let it& ...more  
Comment by Ggeeman on Sep 06, 2018 1:47pm
i meant the way hexo had someone speak publicly. Not you shorttie !!!!! you don't fool anyone here
Comment by TruthAboutHip on Sep 06, 2018 1:52pm
You are too much my friend. Why don't you go back and re-read your own posts and see how all over the map you are regarding your position on HIP. Then go back and re-read mine. You might even learn something. I have had enough of your mealy mouthed responses and lack of backbone. You sir are a licker of any posterior which is bent in your current direction regardless of it's putrid stench ...more  
Comment by Ggeeman on Sep 06, 2018 2:02pm
thanks Shakespeare !!! Go suck on a lemon All your post have been complaints since you first got an account a month ago
Comment by Swampcat27 on Sep 06, 2018 1:37pm
ohhh ,the sting of reality....he did sell off his last company. 
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