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Aphria Inc. T.APHA


Primary Symbol: APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints of federal prohibition. It has some U.S. exposure through the acquisition of SweetWater, a craft brewer


NDAQ:APHA - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by arblineson Jan 18, 2020 9:20pm
573 Views
Post# 30569931

Next 2 quarters

Next 2 quarters
It seems Aphria got caught off guard with the Diamond delays. Management had to buy 9 million in product last quarter --- they couldn't produce enough while trying to start Diamond. Next quarter won't be much different regarding the income statement; Double Diamond still won't be reported on earnings, and OCS will start opening stores after the quarter ends. I also think Double Diamond delayed the extracts which will be a slow rollout. However, Q4 will be gangbusters with month over month growth throughout the quarter. Production costs will continue to decrease, but it will be the first quarter of the facility running at 100% and we can get a sense of actual costs. The industry is skeptical Aphria will be able to sell it, but they now have the ability to control the price. I don't foresee any catalysts from now until July or August, but with MnAs, black swans, you never know. If they execute for Q4, and release guidance for FY2020 around 1.2 billion with 150 to 200 million EBITDA the stock could easily 2x to 3x on Q4 earnings. Good luck to the longs, and hope management's payrolls correlates to competence.
Bullboard Posts