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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Chorus Aviation Inc T.CHR

Alternate Symbol(s):  CHRRF | T.CHR.DB.B | T.CHR.DB.C | T.CHR.DB.A

Chorus Aviation Inc. is a global aviation solutions provider and asset manager, focused on regional aviation. The Company’s primary business activities include contract flying, managing aircraft on behalf of fund investors and other third-party aircraft investors and/or owners, as well as maintenance, repair and overhaul services and pilot training. The Company operates through Regional... see more

TSX:CHR - Post Discussion

Chorus Aviation Inc > Chorus Aviation Announce 4th Quarter and 2020 YE Results
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Post by davgro on Feb 18, 2021 7:19pm

Chorus Aviation Announce 4th Quarter and 2020 YE Results

2021-02-18 19:11 ET - News Release

Mr. Joe Randell reports

CHORUS AVIATION ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER AND YEAR-END 2020 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Chorus Aviation Inc. has released fourth quarter and year-end 2020 financial results and has provided an update on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the business.

"The COVID-19 crisis brought a deep, global reduction in passenger demand and onerous travel restrictions, imposing significant financial hardship on our customers. The crisis forced us to pivot from offense to defense; shifting from our plans of organic growth to building liquidity and protecting the balance sheet," stated Joe Randell, President and Chief Executive Officer, Chorus.

"Overall, the resiliency of our business model and the dedication of our team delivered respectable financial performance despite the unprecedented challenges the aviation industry worldwide is experiencing. Year-over-year adjusted EBITDA was relatively consistent due primarily to the fixed fee nature of our contract with Air Canada and modest growth in aircraft leasing revenue."

"We closed 2020 with approximately $200 million in liquidity and we anticipate this to be relatively stable to the end of this year. Preserving liquidity remains a priority given the duration and ultimate impact of the pandemic on our industry are unknown. We understand that the financial losses airlines are incurring are not sustainable in the long term. We continue to work with Air Canada and our leasing customers to help them manage the economic pressures they are facing as a consequence of the sustained reduction in demand for passenger air travel. We are confident that air travel will return, but given the uncertainty of when, we continue to take the steps necessary to protect the company."

"The health and safety of our employees and customers are major areas of focus. I continue to be amazed at the resiliency of our team and I sincerely thank them for doing all possible to maintain the safety and integrity of our operations. Many of our smaller and regional communities are without air service and I certainly appreciate the hardship and uncertainty we all face. With over half of our employees on inactive status, this situation needs urgent attention. We've been very active advocating for our industry with key government stakeholders to ensure the sustainability of regional aviation services is top of mind when making these policy decisions. The air industry needs sector support given the circumstances. I look forward to resuming service and providing critical links to the rest of Canada and the world through the Air Canada network, and we are eager to do so. I'm hopeful our government will soon introduce its plan to assist our vital sector given its importance to the social fabric of Canada and any economic recovery," concluded Mr. Randell.

Liquidity

As of December 31, 2020, Chorus' liquidity was approximately $201.0 million including cash of $165.7 million and $35.3 million of available room on its operating credit facility. Liquidity decreased from the third quarter by approximately $17.0 million primarily due to the equity funding on two previously committed A220-300s acquired in the fourth quarter as well as working capital requirements.

In 2020, Chorus successfully implemented the following measures as part of its liquidity strategy by:

Renegotiating certain of the debt facilities repayment terms in December 2020 as outlined in the Capital section below.

Utilizing the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy ('CEWS') program in Jazz and Voyageur and netting the $120.5 million government grant against salaries, wages and benefits expense in 2020. Although Jazz received CEWS of $115.6 million, this grant did not contribute to Jazz's operating income as it was either passed onto Air Canada as a reduction in Controllable Costs or paid to inactive employees. The CEWS received for active employees of $63.1 million reduced the amount of the Controllable Cost Guardrail receivable from Air Canada.

Suspending dividend payments and the Dividend Reinvestment Plan ('DRIP') following the payment of the March 2020 dividend on April 17, 2020. This measure saved approximately $40.0 million in dividend payments in 2020. On an annual basis this measure is estimated to save approximately $55.0 million in annual cash payments, assuming a DRIP participation rate of 29%.

Suspending all incremental aircraft lease portfolio acquisitions beyond those committed.

Reducing non-essential maintenance and other capital expenditures as a result of reduced flying and other business activity in Jazz and Voyageur.

Implementing pay reductions for members of the management and administrative team and Board of Directors in 2020.

Offering voluntary employee separation program packages during the year to reduce overhead costs in Jazz.

Chorus currently expects its liquidity to be relatively stable to the end of 2021 as it continues with measures to manage liquidity based on the continuation of the reduction of non-essential capital expenditures, reduction of overhead costs and the utilization of the CEWS by Jazz and Voyageur for the remainder of the program, contingent upon qualification.

Fourth Quarter 2020 Summary

In the fourth quarter of 2020, Chorus reported adjusted EBITDA of $82.0 million, a decrease of $6.7 million relative to the fourth quarter of 2019.

The Regional Aircraft Leasing ('RAL') segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $7.8 million primarily due to a $3.6 million expected credit loss provision and lower lease margins attributable to off-lease aircraft partially offset by additional aircraft earning leasing revenue.

The Regional Aviation Services ('RAS') segment's adjusted EBITDA increased by $1.1 million.

The fourth quarter results were impacted by:

a decrease in stock-based compensation of $2.5 million due to the change in the share price inclusive of the change in fair value of the Total Return Swap;

an increase in aircraft leasing under the CPA primarily related to additional revenue of $3.1 million earned from two incremental Dash 8-300s and eight incremental CRJ900s in 2020 versus 2019; and

a decrease in general administrative expenses; offset by

a decrease in capitalization of major maintenance overhauls on owned aircraft operated under the CPA of $1.9 million over the previous period;

a reduction in other revenue due to a decrease in third-party maintenance repair and overhaul ('MRO') activity and reduced contract flying resulting from the economic impact of COVID-19; and

an expected credit loss of $0.6 million.

Adjusted net income was $7.7 million for the quarter, a decrease of $15.6 million due to:

a $6.7 million decrease in adjusted EBITDA as previously described;

an increase in depreciation of $3.0 million primarily related to additional aircraft;

an increase in net interest costs of $3.8 million primarily related to the 5.75% Unsecured Debentures added in December 2019, new credit facilities and additional aircraft debt; and

an increase of $6.0 million in realized foreign exchange and unrealized foreign exchange losses on working capital; offset by

a $3.5 million decrease in adjusted income tax expense resulting from a reduction in EBT1 of $9.3 million offset by tax recovery on adjusted items of $5.8 million; and

a decrease in other of $0.4 million.

Net income decreased $27.4 million due to the previously noted decrease in adjusted net income of $15.6 million, a general aircraft impairment provision of $41.6 million, lease repossession costs of $0.5 million, signing bonuses of $0.5 million, and employee separation program costs of $0.4 million; offset by the change in net unrealized foreign exchange on long-term debt of $25.3 million and tax recovery on adjusted items of $5.8 million.

2020 Year-End Summary

Chorus reported adjusted EBITDA of $347.5 million for 2020, an increase of $5.7 million over 2019.

The RAL segment's adjusted EBITDA increased by $12.9 million which was primarily due to additional aircraft earning leasing revenue partially offset by an $8.8 million allowance for expected credit loss provision and lower lease margins attributable to off-lease aircraft.

The RAS segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $7.2 million. The 2020 results were impacted by:

a reduction in other revenue due to a decrease in third-party MRO activity, reduced part sales and reduced contract flying resulting from the economic impact of COVID-19;

a decrease in capitalization of major maintenance overhauls on owned aircraft operated under the CPA of $5.9 million over the previous period; and

an expected credit loss provision of $1.5 million; partially offset by

a decrease in stock-based compensation of $9.3 million due to the change in the share price inclusive of the change in fair value of the Total Return Swap:

an increase in aircraft leasing under the CPA primarily related to additional revenue of $9.9 million earned from two incremental Dash 8-300s and eight incremental CRJ900s in 2020 versus 2019; and

a decrease in general administrative expenses.

Adjusted net income was $64.0 million year-to-date, a decrease over 2019 of $30.9 million due to:

an increase in depreciation of $19.2 million related to additional aircraft;

an increase in net interest costs of $19.0 million related to additional aircraft debt, the 5.75% Unsecured Debentures added in December 2019 and on new credit facilities;

an increase of $1.3 million on loss of disposal of property and equipment; and

an increase of $6.9 million in realized foreign exchange and unrealized foreign exchange losses on working capital; partially offset by

a $5.7 million increase in adjusted EBITDA as previously described;

a decrease in adjusted income tax expense of $9.3 million resulting from a reduction in EBT of $19.6 million offset by tax recovery on adjusted items of $10.3 million; and

a decrease in other of $0.4 million.

Net income decreased $91.7 million over 2019 due to the previously noted decrease of $30.9 million in adjusted net income, a general aircraft impairment provision of $68.2 million, $3.2 million on lease repossession costs and increased employee separation program costs of $2.5 million; offset by tax recovery on adjusted items of $10.3 million, decreased signing bonuses of $1.5 million under union collective agreements and the change in net unrealized foreign exchange on long-term debt of $1.4 million.

 

 Consolidated Financial Analysis (expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars) Three months ended December 31, Year ended December 31, 2020 2019 2020 2019 $ $ $ $ Operating revenue 218,166 338,606 948,721 1,366,447 Operating expenses 219,383 287,173 834,174 1,165,984 Operating (loss) income (1,217) 51,433 114,547 200,463 Net interest expense (23,493) (19,730) (90,774) (71,768) Foreign exchange gain 31,297 11,901 25,156 30,613 Loss on property and equipment (1,370) (1,665) (1,946) (1,048) Earnings before income tax 5,217 41,939 46,983 158,260 Income tax recovery (expense) 3,940 (5,362) (5,497) (25,100) Net income 9,157 36,577 41,486 133,160 Adjusted EBITDA(1) 81,972 88,636 347,454 341,719 Adjusted EBT(1) 9,578 28,646 80,995 121,263 Adjusted net income(1) 7,667 23,268 64,041 94,978 (1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. 

 

Outlook

The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting government restrictions have created unprecedented challenges for the passenger aviation industry around the world. Even though Chorus' business model does not directly expose it to the market risks ordinarily faced by airlines, substantially all its source revenue is derived from airline customers, through its CPA and its leasing of aircraft to airline customers globally. The full extent of the duration and therefore the impact of this pandemic are unknown. Chorus continues to work with Air Canada and its customers to assist as they manage the economic pressures they face.

Regional Aviation Services:

Jazz expects to operate between approximately 14% and 20% of its capacity in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020.

In January 2021, approximately 50% of Jazz employees were furloughed, which is down from its lowest point of 65% in the second quarter of 2020 due to an increase in flying operations. Contingent upon qualification, Jazz plans to utilize the CEWS for the remainder of the program's availability, which has been extended to the end of June 2021.

Jazz earns a Fixed Margin which was set for 2020 as an aggregate amount irrespective of the number of Covered Aircraft and thereafter is based on the number of Covered Aircraft under the CPA. The Fixed Margin under the CPA for 2021 is currently fixed at not less than $64.5 million compared to $74.2 million earned in 2020.

As of December 31, 2020, the Controllable Cost Guardrail receivable from Air Canada was $44.2 million. Chorus expects the receivable to be between $15.0 million and $45.0 million in 2021.

Chorus started earning leasing revenue on five additional CRJ900s delivered under the CPA near the end of the fourth quarter of 2020, bringing the total CRJ900 aircraft received in 2020 to eight. Chorus received the ninth CRJ900 in February 2021.

Voyageur continues to perform overseas humanitarian flights and cargo services, and the air ambulance operation in New Brunswick. Voyageur's contract flying, charter sales and MRO services revenues all improved over the third quarter of 2020 and the momentum is expected to be sustained in 2021. Parts sales operations experienced lower demand during the quarter due to the impact of COVID-19. Voyageur currently represents less than 10% of Chorus' consolidated revenue and net income.

Regional Aircraft Leasing:

Chorus has received requests from substantially all its RAL segment customers for some form of temporary rent relief, as they cope with an unprecedented reduction in demand for passenger air travel. With the exception of the rent relief agreements that include lease term extensions, the arrangements typically provide short-term rent relief of between three and twelve months, with repayment terms approximating two years. Chorus Aviation Capital's ('CAC') gross lease receivable was $56.3 million (US $44.2 million) as of December 31, 2020 and is not estimated to materially change by the end of the 2021. CAC's gross lease deferral receivable exposure is partially mitigated by security packages held of approximately US $19.0 million. Chorus collected approximately 60% of lease revenue billed in the fourth quarter from its lessees, excluding repossessed aircraft, a 10-percentage point improvement over the third quarter of 2020. Consistent with market norms, these leases are generally for a fixed term, contain an absolute payment obligation on the part of the lessee, and cannot be terminated early for convenience.

Capital:

In December 2020, Chorus amended the terms of a warehouse credit facility used for aircraft acquisitions to, among other things, cancel the remaining available credit under the facility (and the associated commitment fees), leaving the balance outstanding under the facility at US $127.9 million (CAD $162.8 million).

In December 2020, Chorus amended the terms of the US $100.0 million unsecured revolving credit facility obtained in April 2020, to replace a bullet repayment of the entire facility at maturity in April 2022 with repayment over eight equal instalments of principal and interest starting in July 2022 and ending in April 2024.

In December 2020, Chorus amended the loan deferral program repayment terms from 12 months to 18 months beginning in January 2021. Chorus' loan deferral program with its largest lender allowed it to defer scheduled payments under certain aircraft loans to the end of 2020 so long as the lease rent under the corresponding leases was deferred. The balance deferred as of December 31, 2020 was US $28.9 million.

In December 2020, Chorus also amended the terms of its aircraft loans with its largest lender in order to remove the remarketing period deadline in respect of aircraft repossessed up to April 24, 2021. This eliminates the requirement to repay the principal amount of the loans prior to maturity if the aircraft are not re-leased by the end of the remarketing period so long as Chorus continues to make the regularly scheduled principal and interest payments and otherwise complies with the loan terms (refer to note 2 to the following table).

Capital expenditures in 2021, including capitalized major maintenance overhauls but excluding expenditures for the acquisition of aircraft and the ESP, are expected to be between $32.0 million and $38.0 million. Annual related acquisitions and ESP capital expenditures in 2021 are expected to be between $100.0 million and $110.0 million (1 )

(1)The 2021 plan includes one ESP and one CRJ900 in the RAS segment as well as two ATR72-600s for the RAL segment all of which have been converted using a foreign exchange rate of 1.2732, the December 31, 2020 closing day rate from the Bank of Canada. It excludes any potential additional investments in third-party aircraft, beyond these already committed. All pending acquisitions and lease commitments are subject to satisfaction of customary conditions precedent to closing.

Further, capitalized terms used but not defined in the Outlook section have the meanings given to them in the MD&A which is available on Chorus' website (www.chorusaviation.com) and SEDAR (www.sedar.com).

Acquisition Proposal Update

On October 23, 2020, in response to a request from the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada, Chorus confirmed that it had received a preliminary, non-binding acquisition proposal from a third party that was subject to a number of significant conditions. That proposal is no longer being considered. However, Chorus is having discussions with the same party regarding a potential investment.

Investor Conference Call / Audio Webcast

Chorus will hold an analyst call at 9:00 a.m. ET on Friday, February 19, 2021 to discuss the fourth quarter and year-end 2020 financial results. The call may be accessed by dialing 1-888-231-8191. The call will be simultaneously audio webcast via:

https://produceredition.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1419394&tp_key=844653550e

This is a listen-in only audio webcast.

The conference call webcast will be archived on Chorus' website at www.chorusaviation.com under Investors > Reports > Executive Management Presentations. A playback of the call can also be accessed until midnight ET, February 26, 2021 by dialing toll-free 1-855-859-2056, and using passcode 7798468#.

1 NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

Comment by HermannHaller on Feb 18, 2021 7:29pm
Thanks for posting. Breathing a big sigh of relief. Three highlights in my opinion: EBITDA relatively stable due to nature of AC contract (I knew this but it's nice to have it reiterated) Liquidity of over $200 million, expected to be stable through until the end of 2021 (very important new news!) Acquisition talks off (no surprise), but discussing possible investment (sounds ...more  
Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 18, 2021 8:29pm
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Comment by HermannHaller on Feb 18, 2021 8:43pm
At $3.74, I don't think there is much premium, if any in the price. It hit $4.50 in December, and is still down over 50% from pre-pandemic (despite the relatively stable EBITDA). Plus there has been no word on any takeover talks since Oct 23. I figured most people had given up on that by now. If there has been any strength in the stock in the past few days, and it wasn't much, I think it ...more  
Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 18, 2021 8:48pm
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Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 18, 2021 8:50pm
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Comment by Capharnaum on Feb 18, 2021 9:33pm
Acquisition was never going to happen under $5-6, so the current stock price doesn't really reflect that. Also, Chorus is in a good situation compared to peers. They are stable right now due to their AC deal, AC will stay afloat either by itself or with the government's help which makes the AC deal stronger and Chorus will get the upside whenever regional air traffic picks up around the ...more  
Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 18, 2021 10:10pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by YupnDump on Feb 19, 2021 5:10am
MAY MAY..WE R IN a TAILSPIN...
Comment by HermannHaller on Feb 18, 2021 10:18pm
It's interesting that CHR is having the discussions about an investment by the same party that proposed the acquisition. Obviously, it's not the case the the potential acquiror saw something about the business that they didn't like, or they would have walked away entirely. It seems more like, as you suggest, they just couldn't agree on price.
Comment by Takafuji on Feb 18, 2021 11:32pm
Yeah I did find that interesting but I'm wary on what they mean by investment. Equity offering for cash infusion? But government bailout is on the way, no need to dilute needlessly. No need to take on higher interest debt. Chorus doesn't get anything if the interested party buys equity on the secondary market so it wouldn't be that. Only types of investment I think that would be ...more  
Comment by Takafuji on Feb 18, 2021 11:34pm
Whoops don't know how to edit post hopefully it taps a market chorus isn't in yet or gives them a permanent competitive advantage in one they are already in.
Comment by Capharnaum on Feb 19, 2021 12:30am
The investor is likely interested in the leasing business. They could create a subsidiary for that division and sell a portion to the investor. Reduces risk for that part of the business, raises the value of Chorus shareholders (as long as the partial sale price reflects a decent valuation for the assets).
Comment by Takafuji on Feb 18, 2021 11:22pm
Don't know about you guys but I'm not happy with the leasing division. There is like no predictability on the non financial asset impairments and they are so material 41.6 million is huge. That's like a whole years worth of dividends. Would've been a great quarter.
Comment by Capharnaum on Feb 19, 2021 12:55am
Impairments are fictive charges. All it does is lower "value" of assets on the balance sheet. It's non-cash (so it wouldn't have affected dividends). If you look at cashflow... they had $56M cashflows from operation in Q4. They had $100M for the other three quarters. With the measures they've taken and the projection that they should end the year with their current cash ...more  
Comment by Takafuji on Feb 19, 2021 2:15am
Well I'm not selling yet, so you probably don't want to them to be like me. Well as per the critical accounting method notes, the impairments are done when they have reason to believe the recoverable amount is less than the carrying amount of the assets. It's a fictitious amount now but is assumed going to be the most likely case either through I'm assuming future cash flows from ...more  
Comment by Capharnaum on Feb 19, 2021 10:52am
Accounting wise, the value of assets on the balance sheet is either the current market value or the value of expected future cashflows. It is not any surprise that the market value of the aircraft or the expected cashflows (considering they have unleased planes sitting around) are down. As such, I think that this isn't anything "new" to those that follow Chorus and the current share ...more  
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