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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Gamehost Inc T.GH

Alternate Symbol(s):  GHIFF

Gamehost Inc. is a Canada-based company operating hospitality & gaming properties in Alberta. The Company's operations include the Rivers Casino & Entertainment Centre in Ft. McMurray, the Great Northern Casino, Service Plus Inns & Suites and Encore Suites hotels as well as a strip mall all located in Grande Prairie, and the Deerfoot Inn & Casino Inc. in Calgary. The Company's segments include... see more

TSX:GH - Post Discussion

Gamehost Inc > Gamehost 2.0 - The Gamehost of Tomorrow!
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Post by Thelongview on Mar 29, 2022 4:45pm

Gamehost 2.0 - The Gamehost of Tomorrow!

As all of you know, I have been an owner of GH since November 2020. The following does not need to be said but will be said nonetheless: I am not on the Board of Directors of our Company, nor have I ever been.
 
However, to get the full benefit from this post, let us assume it is written by a Board member who goes by the name of TLV, and is directed to fellow Board members and to management:
 
There have been a lot of changes at Gamehost since it became an income trust in 2003. Some of the bigger changes have been the opening of the Deerfoot Inn & Casino in 2005 and our ninety four room Encore Suites in 2016. Along with these two openings, we have expanded / renovated our lodging and casino operations on a regular basis, every few years.
 
While the above has produced satisfactory results, it has all been the same game plan: Put a casino next to lodging to get synergies and attract more customers to our casinos by offering entertainment such as concerts and comedy acts (other forms of entertainment have been offered but these are the main two). We can only go so far with this model.
 
Now, don’t get me wrong. This is not a criticism of our Company. We have excellent properties, in great locations, and are well operated by a solid management team. If you send me back in time to the year 2003, I would not have objected to any of the above changes and operating style of management. It was the right strategy to use at that time.
 
We are no longer in the year 2003. Our core customer is now nineteen years older. The age of majority in Alberta is eighteen and we now have customers that were not even born when our stock first started to trade in 2003. We don’t want to alienate our older customers but we can’t afford to ignore the future of our business – young individuals and young families. They will be with us for a half-century and they want a different experience. We must act now.
 
Why now?
I would like to express a sense of urgency. It is true that we do have time to make the changes but we must keep in mind that it will take time for us to implement these changes.
 
The timeframe for these changes has been expedited due to the AGLC lifting the moratorium on new casino licences and the new four-step plan that has been put in place in the licence issuing process. While it is true that the AGLC will ask all existing casino operators their views on this matter – and we along with our competitors shall object to having new licences issued - in the final analysis only the AGLC will decide the outcome as only their opinion really matters.
 
Cases can be made on both sides of the argument as to if new licences should be allowed but we cannot close our eyes to this new development and simply keep our fingers crossed that it all works out okay for us. We must assume that new competition will be allowed to form and we must defend against this. By making changes today, we will be a stronger company that remains the preferred destination of our customers for decades to come.
 
What should we do?
I’m going to focus on Grande Prairie. Calgary has many competitors and is well served and Fort McMurray is a different demographic animal.
 
Our competitive advantage is our location. It is where we could be attacked and since we have almost no competition in Grande Prairie, it is where we could see competition appear. We need to strengthen our competitive advantage. We can’t continue to just offer lodging, concerts and comedy to attract customers to our casinos. There is a large part of the population we are ignoring.
 
Where do young, middle age, older people and families go that they all have in common? What can we offer that a competitor, present or future, has more difficulty in offering? The answer to these two questions is restaurants.
 
Gamehost is in a singular position in this regard. In Grande Prairie, a progressive city, we own land between our casino and hotel that can be used to build an infrastructure of restaurants. Until just recently, the land between these two buildings could not be built upon due to the Grande Prairie Regional Hospital being built. Now that it is completed, the City of Grande Prairie has removed this restriction and we are free to build if we desire to.
 
We also own a commercial building across from our casino that used to house a restaurant. This structure may need to be rethought and converted into a more usable model to reflect a more 2022 restaurant environment.
 
We have the construction know how to take on a project like this as our VP, Darcy Will, has been in construction since his teenage years and in particular has worked on constructing and renovating many restaurants over the years. In addition to this, the infrastructure can be built at cost since Darcy still owns a construction company that to this day does all of the work on all of our other buildings, for cost.
 
None of our current competitors and likely none of our future competitors have these advantages.
 
In short, we own land between our casino and hotel as well as across the street from our casino. We have the experience in building restaurants and we can do it at cost. This forms the beginning of the expansion of our competitive advantage in Grande Prairie.
 
It is by far, better to entrench ourselves into the daily lives of our customers and potential customers, before competition appears, as this will cause habits to be formed that are more difficult to break later on. Psychology books will all tell you that lifestyle habits are difficult to change when they’ve been around for a while and especially those that involve emotions. That is why Coca-Cola is so popular. Consumers usually drink it when they are having fun and over time the feeling of fun gets associated with the beverage. Think of Pavlov and his dog.
 
For the rest of this post I will address you as TLV – private investor and shareholder.
 
Why restaurants?
The restaurant industry is one I know very well. I have been studying it for close to twenty years: QSR, Fast Casual, Casual, Fine Dining, Pop Up, delivery, restaurant branded grocery products, restaurant tech, apps, robots, demographic tastes, inter-provincial and international tastes, supply chain economics,  menu pricing strategies, etc. There is not another industry in which I have more detailed knowledge.
 
My single largest holding and one in which I've been a shareholder of since May 2004 is also in this area and it will most likely remain my single largest holding forever (management is aware of this). I have learned so much about the industry from conversing with management over the years.
 
Other than during 2020 and 2021, (due to pandemic although the rebound in 2021 has been nothing short of astounding) the dollar amount as a percentage of total income spent on food outside of the home has been rising. This has been increasing every single year for over forty years.
 
We have developed into a culture that revolves around food consumed outside of our homes and there are many reasons for this. The reasons would take too long to go into detail here, and some are not as obvious as you may think, but the trend will continue to be higher. That is clear.
 
Right now we are attracting people directly to our casinos. The concerts and comedy routines are held inside of our casinos. This is direct attraction.
 
With restaurants it will be indirect attraction. Customers come to a separate structure to consume food. They are either on the go (work or other destination) or they are there for leisure. They see the casino next door. Over time this will result in more restaurant customers being customers of the casino as well. We make the Grande Prairie hub (casino and hotel) into a leisure hub by incorporating food as a destination spot of its own with the knowledge that this will translate into more total gaming dollars being spent over time.
 
This restaurant structure also needs to be profitable and self-sustaining of which it could most definitely be. I can tell you that we should not own the restaurants but simply own the buildings. We should lease out the space. You don’t want to be entering the restaurant industry if you don’t know what you are doing. The real professional management teams will destroy you. They are that good.
 
The local demographics (age, tastes, family types, individuals etc.) will dictate which concepts you can lease the space to and what formats should be used (QSR, Fast Casual, Casual etc.). You want a profitable concept so that it increases foot traffic and also that it does not tarnish the image of our casino. If you have a poor business next door it does hurt the luster of the environment.
 
You also want your restaurant tenants to be franchisees and not direct owners of their restaurant. They will have much better margins and be more profitable. They have a much higher success ratio by being a franchisee.
 
The type of concept is crucial. It has to be popular but not a fad. If our building is not constantly leased we will be less profitable or even lose money as the fixed costs of owning the structure remain.
 
I am in the province of Quebec. The various culture groups in this province are really into food and have been for decades. There is tremendous competition here. One area that has been on fire for about twenty years now has been breakfast restaurants. In the beginning it was traditional breakfast food. About ten years ago it started to evolve and the food being offered was greatly elevated and started to become gourmet. Since about 2016 or so it has radically changed again and the food is unreal now. You are getting incredibly gourmet and creative food that basically could be served all day and evening long. These concepts, and there are many, are packed and I mean packed (pre pandemic but once again I am seeing huge demand). I know for a fact that breakfast is not that big in Ontario (well in certain local spots it is but not in Ontario as a whole – different culture and tastes) but it is quite big in Alberta and I am told it is increasing rapidly and will continue to grow.

The infrastructure that we build should contain multiple restaurant concepts so as to be seen as a food destination of interest.

If successful further land could be purchased if available and continue the food / leisure destination approach.
 
Conclusion
Our competitive advantage would be deepened if we create a leisure destination hub in Grande Prairie that includes a casino, hotels and multiple popular restaurant concepts that attract a larger and varied group of people. People that would not normally go to a casino.

The end result would be a deepened competitive advantage that would be more equiped to ward off competition and generate increased profits for owners.

This is the Gamehost of the future.  A more difficult business for competitors to hurt.

A destination for fun!
Comment by malx1 on Mar 29, 2022 5:54pm
Excellent points, as always, TLV! A nagging concern that I have had at times is the Wild Horse Casino & Lounge at Evergreen Park.  With changes of AGLC licensing, could well-heeled operators come in and buy it? Can GH consolidate this venue without dragging down profitability? Is this even on the radar?  How do we convert Kasking's Hi-Limit-Hideout into a restaurant or ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 29, 2022 6:16pm
Food works for all demographic and worker orientation. QSR perfect for workers with limited time. FC concept better suited for broader residents but some workers as well.  Proven concepts with proven dedicated demographics. It works all over and is proven. Multiple concepts a must to appeal to a foodie. That is the crowd I want to target. Not your typical casino person. Will provice new ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 29, 2022 6:27pm
Just to be clear, I'm not talking about our commercial property accross the street from the casino. That is the property that the AIF says they want to lease out. It is a small property. I'm really focusing on the land we own between the casino and the hotel. It's a big parcel. This is where we can erect a building with multiple food concepts that appeal to the local population ...more  
Comment by malx1 on Mar 29, 2022 11:40pm
Ok,TLV's recommendations just sunk in. Makes sense. First thought was a Keg...  but there's one just down the street already. Then tought, what would attract people new to the region and retirees? Asian food! Then, what would fit well with the regional work crews? Mexican food! TLV onto something big here. Well done.
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 10:34am
Malx1, now you are reading my mind!
Comment by malx1 on Mar 30, 2022 10:43am
TLV, check your in-box and say hello to Warren Buffett for me. Thanks
Comment by hurko22 on Mar 30, 2022 12:38am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by cpeczek on Mar 30, 2022 7:50am
An entertainment complex is a great idea. Something nearby to bring the whole place together. Have you posed this in an email to IR? 
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 10:47am
I've been workng on this for about a week now. I'm preparing a hardcopy presention for management. I'm going into greater detail as to the reasons and solution and backing all of this up with data. The data to back up the reasoning is important. I have certainly never believed anyone that can't back up claims. I'm sure GH management is the same. At least I sure hope so! When ...more  
Comment by malx1 on Mar 30, 2022 11:21am
So this is the economic-moat construction you were referring to in one of your original posts. There's a reason Caesars Palace has about 16 different food experiences for guests. You arrive, you enjoy what you like, you come back again.
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 11:57am
Yes this is what I was refering to. Great concept eating experiences are the shark in the moat around are castle to keep invading competitiors out. Food emporium right next to casino and lodging. Destinaition for fun.  Why even think of going to a competitor (when they surface) if we offer so much more. This is our moat!
Comment by malx1 on Mar 30, 2022 12:10pm
I see that vision.  Canada is decades behind in this strategy.  You connected dining experiences with lodging and entertainment. Any of the three can attract patrons but it is dining that will invite a whole new demographic. Should this be a 5-10yr commodity supercycle, there's gonna be a whole lot of customers in GP looking for food, fun and comfy beds.
Comment by cpeczek on Mar 30, 2022 11:24am
I agree, Grande Prairie is a rapidly growing city and it makes sense to capitalize on that. Incomes are high, the population is much younger than the national average and from my own knowledge, I know its attracting a ton of new movement in the past few months.  I definitely would never go to a casino on my own, I might go for a show but that would be it. Restaurants and/or some sort of ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 12:06pm
Forget Nationa breakfast chains. That is for the older people we want to attract foodies and they don't go for Denny's etc. There are great novel concepts out there. Cpeczek, here are two for you to check out the food: 1) Allo mon coco! 2) Ben & Florentine Food is amazin but also very important the atmosphere is amazing. They have been around for a long-time. There is even more ...more  
Comment by cpeczek on Mar 30, 2022 12:29pm
I am familiar with both since I also follow that particular franchisor, haha.  I don't know if those will branch out of Quebec. I think breakfast chains are very competitive. Might be worth posing, I don't know if that particular franchisor needs to necessarily be the partner for it.  I agree with you: I am a millennial and chains like Boston Pizza have 0 appeal to me. I would ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 4:11pm
It's not so much the brand name that's important  - for foodies it's all about the food and not the name -  but the type of concept that is important.  The name Allo Mon Coco would be a challenge in Alberta and anywhere outside of Quebec with the possible  exception of New Brunswick. In fact I have a story for you. Back in December 2017, the franchisor you mention, ...more  
Comment by cpeczek on Mar 31, 2022 9:26am
I wonder how many American hedge fund guys are invested in GH. From my memory IRG was quite small so I am surprised by them showing up. I usually think of Canadian small caps as being mostly retail and insider driven.  You make a really compelling pitch. Hopefully the management sees it. If you need to have more people sign it, I would be willing to although my shares are a pittance compared ...more  
Comment by cpeczek on Mar 31, 2022 9:28am
also I would love to hear more stories about all this. Very interesting stuff. Where do you get your corporate history books?
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 31, 2022 3:46pm
At the time of IRG's annual meeting in 2017 it had a market cap of about $190M. Yes it was a small company, especitally when I was buying into it.  There are a lot of hedgies in the US and not all are the big guys. I dind't want to mention this particular hedgies name because he and his family are known and the fact that he thought IRG owned Saint Hubert is not very impressive to say ...more  
Comment by cpeczek on Apr 01, 2022 12:11pm
Thanks Mr. View. I am looking at ordering Double Double now. Looks like a good read.
Comment by malx1 on Mar 31, 2022 2:54pm
One can never own enough GH shares...  Only reason I have a few is because I liquidated other co's to keep buying this gem. Do as I say, not as I do.  Diversify across sectors/regions/countries and be mindful of your individual stock weightings.  When stuff gets 5%+, it's often time to trim and re-deploy capital into medium risk holdings. Don't be a dummy like malx1. ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 31, 2022 4:21pm
Well Malx1, I would say you are smart and in the end you will be proven correct. Time is the friend of the good business.
Comment by malx1 on Mar 31, 2022 9:33pm
That's not what the compliance department managers used to say about me!! Then again, they were afraid of oil at $30wti in 2003... I'll side with TLV on this one. He knows things.
Comment by BarstoolSage on Mar 30, 2022 10:35am
Man o man, I so appreciate this board. TLV what an awesome in depth look and great recommendation. I have a holding in Smart Centres and this is what they are embarking on, intensifying land use around their various big box retail centres, adding residential to the mix. One of the things I did long ago was to look at our properties and I get it....there is definitely space there Your ...more  
Comment by Thelongview on Mar 30, 2022 11:17am
I don't want to rule out the possibility of GH wanting to operate the "food emporium". To do so they would need to hire the right person to oversee this. If GH has a desire to do so, there is more money to be made. Much more. But they have to get it right. Food quality has got to be top notch. Chef very important. Same concept with two different chefs and you get different ...more  
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