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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum illumin Holdings Inc T.ILLM

Alternate Symbol(s):  ILLMF

illumin Holdings Inc. provides a journey advertising platform, which enables marketers to reach consumers at every stage of their journey by leveraging advanced machine learning algorithms and real-time data analytics. It enables advertisers to connect intelligently with audiences across online display, video, social and mobile campaigns. Its Programmatic Marketing Platform, powered by machine... see more

TSX:ILLM - Post Discussion

illumin Holdings Inc > Trade Desk financial guidance
View:
Post by Torontojay on May 10, 2021 12:10pm

Trade Desk financial guidance

So it looks like the financial guidance is responsible for the big sell off as it relates to the pandemic. They are still providing very strong ebitda numbers compared to last years q2 so I don't know what's the problem.

 This is from their recent q1 earnings: 
 

Our business has been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic that has significantly impacted advertiser demand. Like many companies that are ad-funded, we are facing a period of higher uncertainty in our business outlook. We expect our business performance could be impacted by issues beyond our control, such as changing economic conditions or additional shelter-in-place orders that may or may not occur. Assuming that the economy continues to recover and we do not have any major COVID-19 related setbacks that may cause economic conditions to deteriorate, we estimate the following: 

Second Quarter 2021 outlook summary: 

  • Revenue range between $259 million and $262 million 
  • Adjusted EBITDA of at least $84 million
Keep in mind adjusted ebitda for q1 was $70.5 million so they are guiding strong ebitda sequential growth of almost 20! Looks good to me. 
 
Comment by RookieMistakes on May 10, 2021 12:20pm
TJ- First of all let me just say I do enjoy reading your insights.   As for the forward guidance I hope Tal  does not poison any great earnings news with similar negative comments.
Comment by tootall67 on May 10, 2021 2:04pm
The problem? Growth stocks are caught up in a painful bear market. We might have days left or months left and there’s no way to know for sure.
Comment by Zach45895 on May 10, 2021 2:26pm
I still cannot fathom why he took this approach to assessing the earnings. Everything was relatively positive.. besides his comments. 
Comment by RookieMistakes on May 10, 2021 3:01pm
Agree.  TTD 26% down at the moment.  lesson: learn when to stop talking Good luck everyone 
Comment by Wansfell on May 10, 2021 5:55pm
I agree that qualifying guidance with the covid blame game didn't help TTD's share price today, but when a company is trading at the premium TTD was.... not only is revenue growth essential... but also Net Income is as well.    The real share price killer here is:   "Net income fell to $22.6 million, or 45 cents a share, from $24.1 million, or 50 cents a share, in ...more  
Comment by Torontojay on May 10, 2021 7:35pm
Looks like the stock based compensation (a non cash expense) was a big factor in this decline but other than that it was a big beat. I was very impressed with their financials and I think they will eventually rebound from this. 
Comment by Wansfell on May 10, 2021 7:46pm
I agree completely.     One of the hazards of being priced to perfection, perfection is demanded... The thing that got me on board TTD at 40 dollars was the fact that it was profitable (or nearly so...).     I think Acuity will report significant revenue growth tomorrow... along with an equally significant net profit growth number... if they merely hold their own ...more  
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