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May 7, 2024
Killam Apartment REIT Q1 Ahead; 2024 SP NOI guidance increased
TSX: KMP.UN | CAD 16.95 | Outperform | Price Target CAD 23.50
Sentiment: Positive
First Look: Killam Apartment REIT (“KMP”) reported FFO/unit of $0.26, +4% y/y, vs. RBC/consensus of $0.25/$0.26. The 4% positive variance was due to higher NOI (slightly higher revenue and lower opex). The strong operating trends continued in Q1 and with SP NOI at +10%, KMP revised upward its 2024 SP NOI target/guide to 8%+ from 6%+. Both leverage and reported NAV improved q/q. Overall, a positive result.
Key points:
SP NOI growth: +10.3 % (SP-Rev +5.9%; SP-Exp -0.7%). Lower opex were driven by lower natural gas prices (-10%) offset by slightly higher general opex and property taxes.
Apartment SP-Occupancy: 98.2% (-30 q/q, -10 bps y/y); SP Apartment rent +5.8% y/y
Rent growth on turnover: +19.6% vs. +19.8% in Q4/23, Q3/23 +16.8%, Q2/23 +14.7%, +Q1/23 +14%. Renewal spread was 3.7% for a blended spread of +5.4%. 3.8% of units turned in the quarter. KMP expects turnover to stay above 17% and average rent to trend higher through remainder of 2024.
Portfolio MTM opportunity: 25-30%
2024 SP NOI growth target/guide increased to 8%+ from 6%+.
Asset sales: Sold, post quarter, 84-unit apartment in Guelph for $19.2M ($229K/unit).
Leverage: Debt to assets of 42.1% (-80 bps q/q). Net debt to EBITDA 10.2x (-0.1x q/q, -0.9x y/y).
IFRS BV (pre-tax) $24.18 (+4.4% q/q). Cap rate for its apartment and MHC portfolio were 4.62% (+0bps q/q) and 6.04% (+0 bps q/q).