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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Verde Agritech Ltd T.NPK

Alternate Symbol(s):  VNPKF

Verde AgriTech Ltd is an agricultural technology company that produces potash fertilizers. The principal activity of the Company is the production and sale of a multi-nutrient potassium fertilizer marketed in Brazil under the brands K Forte and BAKS, Silicio Forte, and internationally as Super Greensand (the Product). K Forte is a potash fertilizer that is a source of potassium, silicon, and... see more

TSX:NPK - Post Discussion

Verde Agritech Ltd > 2021 Q1 numbers in full
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Post by KirklandX on May 11, 2022 7:03am

2021 Q1 numbers in full

Verde’s Q1 2022 revenue grows 1,260%

GLOBE NEWSWIRE 

Maio 11, 2022

Results surpass EPS guidance by 254%

 

Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Verde AgriTech Plc (TSX: “NPK”) (OTCQB: “AMHPF”) (“Verde” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce its financial results for the first quarter of 2022 (“Q1 2022”).

 

Q1 2022 Financials

  • Revenue increased by 1,260% in Q1 2022, to $11,304,000 compared to $831,000 in Q1 2021.
  • Revenue in Brazilian Real (“R$”) increased by 1,196% in Q1 2022, to R$46,627,000 compared to R$3,597,000 in Q1 2021.
  • Sales by volume increased by 574% in Q1 2022, to 111,667 tonnes sold compared to 16,558 tonnes sold in Q1 2021.
  • Gross margin increased to 77% in Q1 2022, compared to 41% in Q1 2021.
  • EBITDA before non-cash events increased to $3,678,000 in Q1 2022, compared to an operating loss of $887,000 in Q1 2021.
  • Net profit increased to $3,033,000 in Q1 2022, compared to a net loss of $1,811,000 in Q1 2021.

 

Subsequent Events

  • In April 2022, the Company announced that Plant 2 was on track to start production in Q3 2022, initially with a 1,200,000 tpy production capacity, as announced by the Company in the press release published on March 03, 2022. The final Plant 2 capacity of 2,400,000 tpy is expected to be reached in Q4 2022. Therefore, by Q4 2022, with Plant 2’s expansion, overall production capacity is expected to be 3,000,000 tpy, establishing Verde as Brazil’s largest potash producer.
  • In April 2022, the Market Study (the “Study”) that will underpin the preparation of the New Pre-Feasibility Study announced by the Company on March 01, 2021 (the “PFS”) was concluded. The Study calculated the potential Brazilian agricultural market for potash, sulphur, and the micronutrients zinc, boron, copper and manganese. The Study was conducted between May 2021 and March 2022, it will be an integral part of the PFS. The PFS will contemplate a scenario of total annual production of up to 50,000,000 tonnes per year (“tpy”) of Verde’s Product, equivalent to 63% of the total Brazilian potash consumption in 2021.
  • In April 2022, Bio Revolution, Verde’s newest technology that enables the incorporation of microorganisms to mineral fertilizers, was launched by the Company.[1] K Forte® will be the first fertilizer in the world to use Bio Revolution technology. Bacillus aryabhattai, widely renowned in agriculture for its multiple benefits, will be the first microorganism to be incorporated into Verde’s Product. Verde’s Plant 1 is already equipped with a facility for deploying Bio Revolution. At Plant 2, a proportionally larger Bio Revolution facility will be built, with operations expected by the end of 2022.
  • In May 2022, Verde announced an increase in its 2022 guidance, previously published on January 10, 2022. The revised 2022 guidance provides for sales of 1,000,000 tonnes of Verde’s multinutrient potassium products, BAKS® and K Forte® sold internationally as Super Greensand® (the “Product”), with revenue of C$109.09 million, EBITDA of C$49.06 million and net earnings per share (“EPS”) of C$0.87. The 2023 guidance provides for sales of 2,000,000 tonnes.

 

“2022 has started in a very shaky manner for the agricultural market globally. In Brazil, which depends on imports for over 96% of its potash supplies, the concern with fertilizers has been at the forethought of most farmers. Despite the record rainfalls during the period, which postponed Verde’s delivery of an additional 25,133 tonnes of Product in Q1 2022, our Team successfully reached a growing portion of Brazil’s market. Verde’s target towards the delivery of 1,000,000 tonnes by the end of 2022 is further boosted by these latest results.”  declared Verde’s Founder, President & CEO Cristiano Veloso.

 

2022 Guidance

On May 03, 2022, Verde announced an increase in its 2022 and 2023 guidance,[2]previously published on January 10, 2022.[3] The Company’s original and revised 2022 targets are detailed on a quarterly basis, to reflect the market demand’s seasonality, as follows:

 

Period Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 FY 2022
Guidance Original
Jan 2022
Achieved
in Q1 2022
Original
Jan 2022
Revised
May 2022
Original
Jan 2022
Revised
May 2022
Original
Jan 2022
Revised
May 2022
Original
Jan 2022
Revised
May 2022
EPS (C$) 0.02 0.06 0.18 0.21 0.25 0.35 0.06 0.25 0.50 0.87
EBITDA (C$’000)[4] 1,358 3,678 10,155 11,808 13,414 19,259 3,506 14,319 28,434 49,065
Revenue (C$’000) 10,070 11,304 21,954 22,902 27,228 40,121 13,011 34,769 72,263 109,097
Sales target (tonnes) 115,000 111,667 200,000 200,000 250,000 353,718 135,000 334,615 700,000 1,000,000

 

The 2022 guidance is underpinned by the following assumptions:

  • Average Brazilian Real (“R$”) to Canadian Dollar exchange rate: C$1.00 = R$4.40
  • Verde’s Product CIF and FOB average price for the full year, including delivered orders, committed orders and projected orders: C$109 per tonne
  • Sales Incoterms: 50% CIF and 50% FOB
  • Sales channels: 40% direct sales and 60% indirect sales

 

2023 Guidance

For 2023, Verde’s updated sales volume target is 2,000,000 tonnes. This target represents a potential 100% growth Year-on-Year (“YoY”).

Period FY 2023
Guidance Original
Jan 2022
Revised
May 2022
Sales target (tonnes) 1,400,000 2,000,000

 

 

Selected Annual Financial Information

The table below summarizes Q1 2022 financial results compared to Q1 2021:

All amounts in
CAD $’000
Q1 2022 Q1 2021
Tonnes sold ‘000 112 17
Revenue per tonne sold $ 101 50
Production cost per tonne sold $ (24) (30)
Gross Profit per tonne sold $ 77 20
Gross Margin
Comment by Celt1967 on May 11, 2022 7:43am
Sales by volume increased by 574% in Q1 2022, to 111,667 tonnes sold compared to 16,558 tonnes sold in Q1 2021. If they can increase their sales in the first (quiet!) quarter by 6x, is it possible they can do the same in the other (busier!) quarters..... They sold 400,000 tonnes last year, this would suggest if the first quarters increase of six times means they may even reach +2m tonnes this year ...more  
Comment by okavongo on May 11, 2022 8:28am
"Verde’s Product CIF and FOB average price for the full year, including delivered orders, committed orders and projected orders: C$109 per tonne" . Is this mean 2022 revised guidance is with a 500 USD/t potash price ? If yes, many good news to come at each quarter :)
Comment by PedroPistacio on May 11, 2022 9:25am
On the basis of my simple math of multiplying this figure by 6 to match with the prevailing global potash price this suggests an average Verde sale price per tonne of KCl equivalent of CAD$654 or US$503, versus the prevailing global price of US$562, although the deliverered KCl price for competing KCl paid by Brazilian farmers would be higher than $562 once shipping/transport etc is added on. So ...more  
Comment by Abruzz0 on May 11, 2022 10:53am
Great results! If you are to read anything on corporate performance and prospects today, this is it: - Despite the record rainfalls during the period, which postponed Verde’s delivery of an additional 25,133 tonnes of Product in Q1 2022, our Team successfully reached a growing portion of Brazil’s market. Verde’s target towards the delivery of 1,000,000 tonnes by the end of 2022 is further ...more  
Comment by KirklandX on May 11, 2022 11:09am
Fully agreed. Great results! The market is just risk off at the moment, so the stock is rebasing nicely. These KCL prices are not going away soon. This company is going to be drowning in cash soon. Quite amazing really. GLTA
Comment by rodrabal on May 11, 2022 11:41am
I think shortsellers are working really hard to keep the price down today. Every time it passes $9.00 ,it's drove back down. Keep buying. Awesome quarterly results!!!!!!!!
Comment by KirklandX on May 11, 2022 11:03am
Fair thought. But I do think you may have your numbers wrong. You reference a prevailing global price of US$562 - the current KCL price delivered to port in Brazil is currently +US$1,200. So more than double Verdes price guidance assumptions. Revenues in the coming quarters (and next year, which we are now forward selling into with these prices) will be locking in super profits. But I think you ...more  
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