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Hackett on 2022/23 winter best of podcast 60% onwards

[llerrad5]

Please take the time to watch our entire ~41 min video podcast that provides our weather outlook for the US and Global growing areas.

 

Watch Hackett Ag Report Podcast-US Hot Dry Dome and Keep an Eye on West Africa Drought

 

In this podcast, we go over why the US hot, dry Dome is occurring, why West Africa drought is likely to worsen for cocoa, and why the transition to El Nino by 1st quarter of 2023 is looking even more probable given the move to a +Qusai-Biennial Osciualltion.

 

We also discuss our initial thoughts on the US winter season and why the US hurricane season has been so quiet up to this point.

[Quintessential1]

What a great report...thank you! I found the hypothesis of the Sahara's sands in the upper atmosphere keeping the air dry and preventing moisture accumulation and therefore stopping storm formation compelling. One quick peek into the National Hurricane Center confirmed that there are not only no cyclone activity currently but none expected to form in the next 48 hours.  Mainly just

[llerrad5]

The way I read it is that the fist part of the winter will be cold and lots of snow. Not so sure he's suggesting colder than nomral? El Nino is the wild card. How fast will it show up? Warmer.

[Quintessential1]

You are correct he does say just that and I keyed in on what he said after that being that the US could have a good rough first half of the winter especially in the eastern half which is more populous and traditionally uses more NG for heat.  He does not say it will be colder than normal I just inferred it with a rough winter. I also was more interested in the fact that it was the first