PyroGenesis Inc T.PYR

Pyro - $1.8 Billion Revenue 12-24 Months Forecast Update

[BIGMOE]

I have included PFAS issue in Canada for 63 location.

1. Contract backlog 2021

 

1. 44.9 million (End of Q3/21)
2. 32.1 million (End of Q2/21)
3. 26 million (End of Q1/21)

 
 

2. $65 million contracts signing confirmed by Peter, next 6 months Oct /21

 

1. $1.8 million – Medical Waste Torch Contract
2. $6 million – Client B Torch Contract
3. $5 million - Biogas Purification System Contract
4. $0.267 million – Tata Contract
5. $1.15 million – Ceramic Powder Processing System
6. $9.2 million – Land Based Destruction System
7. $41.433 million still outstanding contract to be announced

 
 

3. Torch Contracts – Estimated Revenue $940.95 million next 2 years

 

1. Client A
   1. $1.8 million – One Torch contract
      1. $0.55 million – Maintenance and service contract over 2 years
   2. $54 million – Requested quote for 36 units
      1. $19.8 million – Maintenance 2 years at cost of $275 k/torch/year.  However, the torch will last 20 to 25 years. More spare parts and service revenue
   3. $300 million – Over 500 Torch is required, Contract 500 units about $750 Million assume over 5 years or $300 Million for the next 2 years.
      1. $110 million - Maintenance over 2 years

 

1.  
2. Client B
   1. $6 million – Four Torch contract
      1. $2.2 million – Maintenance and service contract over 2 years
   2. $78 million – 130 Torch is required at cost of $195 million, I assume it will take 5 years.
      1. $19.8 million – Client B Torch maintenance 2 years at cost of $275 k/torch/year.  However, the torch will last 20 to 25 years. More spare parts and service revenue

 

3. Client C
   1. $210 million – Estimated 350 Torch is required over 5 years.  Next 2 years estimated requirements of 140 Torch.  Today’s interview by Peter stated that Client A, B and C requires over 1000 Torches
      1. $77 million – Maintenance cost over 2 years

 

4. Medical Waste Contract
   1. $1.8 million – Two torch for medical waste

 
 

5. Future Torch Contracts
   1. $30 million - Algoma Steel 8-10 burners estimated
   2. $30 million - Dofasco Steel (Hamilton) 8-10 burners estimated

 

6. Cost Analysis
   1. $250 k Annual cost saving (report from Sweden)
   2. $280 k Annual CO2 saving/grant (2021 based on Canada Government)
   3. $530 k Annual cost saving/torch
   4. Payback about 3 years/torch

 
 

4. Dross Contract – Estimated Revenue of $130 million over the next 2 years

 

1. $40 million - Bidding for Dross contract above average change to win.
   1. $10 million – Spare parts over 2 years
2. $40 million - Additional contract in progress for $40 million on 2^nd dross.
   1. $10 million – Spare parts over 2 years
3. $15 million of LOI announcement on Dross contract
   1. $5 million – Spare parts over 2 years
4. Aluminum Dross Residues Conversion - $10 million estimate

 
 

5. Waste Destruction System - $643.6 million over the next 2 years
   1. Land base system
   2. $9.2 million land-based system announced, plus two additional units $18.4 million possible in the near future
   3. Example – Town of Easton, MA Population 25 k (2018)
      1. $9.2 million contract for 25 k people and cleaning up PFAS.
      2. Land based system for Pyro is limitless and huge business over $100 billion just USA only.
      3. Population=330 million/25 k=13.2k*9.2m=$121.44 billions
      4. Assume two (2) projects per month for the next 24 months.  $10 million/project*2*24months=$480 millions
      5. US Government will fund for all the projects and waiting for Congress to approve the spending bills.

 

4. Canada – 63 locations for hotspot
   1. $9.2 million contract for 25 k people and cleaning up PFAS.
   2. Assume we need 4 units per locations
   3. Cost estimate over $2.3 billions
   4. Assume 5% of the contract materialize over 24 months
   5. Estimated about $116 millions

 
 

6. Powder Contract - Estimated Revenue of $15 million over the next 2 years

 

1. $5 million - Powder contract unknown, assume $5 million for Auto/Aerospace

 
 

7. Pyro Green Gas - Estimated Revenue of $20.267 million over the next 2 years

 

1. Purchasing Air Science Technologies Inc - $5 million in revenue
2. Over 12.8 million in revenue backlog
3. Biogas Purification System Contract - $5 million
4. Tata contract $0.267 million

 
 

8. HPQ Investment - Estimated Revenue of $16.15 million over the next 2 years

 

1. Nano Reactor (HPQ Alliance, Battery and EV) revenue unknown, assume $5 million

 

2. HPQ Nano Reactor (Fumed Silica for medical devises), estimated $5 million – potential addressable $2 billion market/year

 

3. Research Grants $5 million estimate

 

4. Research Grants $1.15 million Ceramic Powder

 
 
Just add the number $1,822.887 Million in revenue expected as of Nov 15/21.  Next 12 to 24 Months.
Cash on hand around $15.8 Million end of Q3/21
 
Revenue Q3/21 – $9.3 Million
Revenue Q2/21 - $8.3 Million
Revenue Q1/21 – $6.3 Million

[abingo1]

Only idiots would sell at this low bottom price.

[Chrisgodfrey202]

I am in business and I convert about 1/3 of my bid opportunities.  I think this is a very good ratio.  Big Moe smells a deal and transfers it to the bottom line.  He is an unabashed pumper or an idiot or both. I blocked him long ago and only see his stupidity when someone else repeats it.  I am pro PYR and a long term holder but the bigmoes only cause problems for everyone

[BIGMOE]

Hi Chris, Assume you convert 30% as your experiences in business?  Therefore. Pyro should have revenue about $600 million over two years. I do not think you have invested in Pyro for the longterm.  I think you are one of the short that will need to torched by Peter when he announces big contracts. My assessment of Pryo businesses is real and reflects all the potential contracts

[fdfd12]

If that happens, the stock will be over $50

[Yakushev]

Einstein!!!