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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Quarterhill Inc T.QTRH

Alternate Symbol(s):  QTRHF | T.QTRH.DB

Quarterhill Inc. is a Canada-based company, which is engaged in providing of tolling and enforcement solutions in the intelligent transportation system (ITS) industry. The Company is focused on the acquisition, management and growth of companies that provide integrated, tolling and mobility systems and solutions to the ITS industry as well as its adjacent markets. The Company’s solutions... see more

TSX:QTRH - Post Discussion

Quarterhill Inc > Interesting question
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Post by mrmoribund on Oct 22, 2021 11:09am

Interesting question

The plan was that Wilan successes were going to fund the acquisition-based growth in ITS. And it looks like Wilan is doing well. Plus, it's a bit disappointing from the perspective of existing shareholders that these new debenture-holders are going to get a piece of the action if / when the news comes on the Apple appeal (though good news is not certain).

So why was there a need to deviate from the plan, especially given the Motorola settlement and the $50 million that remained in the bank following the purchase of ETC? Also, one could argue that it would have been better to do the issue AFTER the release of Q3 results, now less than two weeks away.

In particular, was there something wrong (or at least unanticipated) with the original plan to have Wilan successes fund the acquisition-based growth in ITS? Why this sudden need for dilution?

I suspect there were two things that were unanticipated. First, the degree of availability--and, in particular, the availability short-term--of certain compelling acquisitions at okay enough prices.

Second, it may not have been fully anticipated back in 2020 the level of urgency there might be to get up to a certain scale for the sake of competing successfully on big tolling contracts. If there's some monster tolling project where ETC has been informed that their proposal will be better received if they can fill in some perceived gap in their offering then, for sure, a little dilution is nothing.

I had a curious exchange (related to this subject) yesterday with one of my Bay Street friends. I suggested there may be an acquisition announced in fairly short order, perhaps even before Q3 numbers are released. His response was interesting. He basically said there was no way an acquisition would be announced before Q3 results because if it turned out badly then the new Bay Street investors would be unhappy. My response to that was that everyone knows another acquisition is coming--that's what the new investors are signing on for. My friend and I left it unresolved.

Anyways, this seems to me the current $64k question. Will there be an acquisition announced before, or concurrent with, the release of Q3 results. I suspect management would like that. Of course it might simply not be possible for things to proceed that quickly.
Comment by cabbieJBJ on Oct 22, 2021 11:52am
mrmoribund, you ask what's changed in the Wilan funding ITS acquisitions strategy.  Timing would be my guess.  It has never been an either/or on debt versus Wilan dollars.  In fact, as far back as Shawn McEwan debt was on the table - i.e., I quote, "the acquisition would fund the cost of financing."  It has been signalled even more strongly recently. I ...more  
Comment by mrmoribund on Oct 22, 2021 12:03pm
Thanks Cabbie. If it turns out you're right that Q3 will be strong then you have to ask why they didn't wait a mere two weeks to do the debenture sale AFTER the release of Q3 numbers. Then they might have gotten a higher conversion price, hence less dilution. This is what inclines me to suspect that they're looking at an acquisition opportunity where they can't (or don't want ...more  
Comment by onlygame on Oct 22, 2021 4:10pm
From History, WIN/QTRH has never mixed quarterly results with news. I doubt they'll start now.
Comment by mrmoribund on Oct 22, 2021 5:10pm
Pardon me? Quarterhill has something of a history of producing news and quarterly releases in close proximity, close enough (and often enough) that it can't just be coincidence. 2021 Q2 - license agreement announced day before release 2020 Q2 - NCIB & license agreement with Kingston announced same day as release 2020 Q1 - sale of Viziya announced 2 days before release
Comment by onlygame on Oct 23, 2021 9:21am
forgive me mrmoribund. I was remembering the many times this board wondered if they would announce some earth shattering news along with the earnings report only to get nothing but silence. It happened enough to make me remember. Perhaps news management is changing
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