Post by
blueboron99 on Apr 25, 2021 11:43pm
Pobrdje Mine
Sasky/Critical
What amount would the Pobrdje mine generate towards Erin's share value if deposit awarded by Mining Ministry to Balkan Gold?
Supposedly there is a 4 year supply of colemanite to mine at 30,000tonnes /year, which would generate about $1M/month in revenue at colemanite sale price of $400/tonne.
If the balance of the deposit at Pobrdje is awarded to Erin to mine, would this increase the stock price by $1/share, $2/share? What is your take on this?
Bottom line, this will generate quick, easy cashflow and a spike in Erin's stock price.
(bb-99)
Comment by
CriticalMind55 on Apr 26, 2021 12:29am
Assuming the same profit margin, 4 years X $12,000,000 US X 1.2476 = $59,884,800 CDN $59,884,800 CDN x .687/138,772,200 shares = .2965 EPS Assuming Industry PE ratio Multiple of 5, so increase in stock price by 5 X .2965 = $1.4825 so final stock price about 11 + 1.4825 = $12.4825 by 2025 or sooner IMO
Comment by
blueboron99 on Apr 26, 2021 1:16am
Critical, thanks for your calculations on share price increase if awarded Pobrdje mine. I figured as such, it would land between a $1-2 share price increase. (bb-99)
Comment by
tmp251000 on Apr 26, 2021 2:59pm
CM what is the .687 used in your calc and it would be more prudent to use 180M shares as any increase beyond 50 cents would bring a ton of warrants being converted If you calculate the full earnings over life of mine do you still use the multiplier or is it only used when you have an ANNUAL earnings What do you think?
Comment by
CriticalMind55 on Apr 26, 2021 4:10pm
.687 is the estimated profit margin I used. You are suggesting 100% dilution beyond .50 cents, it may or may not happen given the full stock price potential. There could be another twist to the share structure when all shares are converted to TMAS shares, the deal could be all stock, all cash or a combintaion...all my opinion of course.
Comment by
tmp251000 on Apr 26, 2021 4:22pm
Thank you .......re the.687 I do think the warrant holders will cash in once the share price is sufficiently above the warrant exercise price no matter which way the deal comes down ....I figured about 40M additional shares once share price jumps high enough