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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Orca Energy Group Ord Shs Class A V.ORC.A

Alternate Symbol(s):  V.ORC.B | ORXGF

Orca Energy Group Inc. is a Tanzania-based company. The Company produces and sells natural gas to the power and industrial sectors. The Company’s principal operating asset is an interest held by a subsidiary, PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Limited (PAET) in a Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) with the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) and the Government of Tanzania (GoT) in the... see more

TSXV:ORC.A - Post Discussion

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Post by cybercanuck on Oct 09, 2020 10:53pm

Evolution

Evolution

Update

The company is about to move into its next and most likely the last evolutionary stage.   It appears to be on the homeward stretch where decisions have to be made about what to do with the Kilimanjaro-sized mountain of cash.  

Over the years, the company has experienced some trying times working in a business environment  where the ground always seems to be shifting.  Perpetual delays, late payment or no payment, squabbling over minutia, changes of the rules and attempts to change the wording of the gas sales agreement or production sales agreement are a major concern.

The company has learned to keep a low profile whilst still getting the job done.  It has even changed its name to an Energy company so as not to offend.   

What this recent seismic shift at the board level tells us is that the voice of the majority is being heard.  We witnessed a silent vote of non confidence with the last Substantial Issuer Bid where 18 733 386 shares voted to depart and 60% of those shares are still here. 

The following realities have set in

  • the  company may not receive regulatory approval for a sale
  • the company may not receive a license extension
  • shareholders want nothing to do with the acquisition of a risk
  • shareholders want direct access to their own money 
  • institutional investors are fearful of illiquid trading stocks
  • the Lyons Trust wants direct access to their own money 
  • shareholders need an " exit " made available to them.

This last evolutionary denouement stage may have to involve another " Substantial Issuer Bid"  and /or a significant increase in the dividend payment.

Regards cc

Continued at  


Link

Comment by downwithdotcom1 on Oct 10, 2020 11:54am
cc...a couple of points how is it that the A type stock has traded (admittantly on 100 share lots every now and then) all the way up to $55 and held??? dividend is all good-elections imminent, looks like the current prez will get re elected and so this anti business climate wont be changing and meanwhile the end of the main PSA looms large..thoughts?? also the KINYEREZI gas plant extension which i ...more  
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 10, 2020 6:23pm
re Link https://groups.google.com/g/canadian-stocks-group Google probably requires a gmail account to access this = = = 1) The local contractors  are working on Kinyerezi 1 Extension     ... H1 2021  2) Orca A   ... no BID  3) re: PSA  ... see Evolution mssge
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 10, 2020 11:03pm
What is quite a relief is the change in direction .... no more thoughts about an acquisition .... ie ,,, Chariot Oil & Gas    Future outlays ... estimated    a) $15 - $17 million for compression  .. not optional    b) $15-  $20 million for workovers ... optional   c) $55 million IFC  ..  $30 million guaranteed ... they have ...more  
Comment by downwithdotcom1 on Oct 11, 2020 1:20pm
have a active google account ...link still not working..tried search groups/conversationis-your name comes up ..last from 2004..whats the deal.. this a private group??
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 1:27pm
huh send me an  email at cybercanuck2   at   gmail.com  I'll try to add you manually from my end
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 1:35pm
Perhaps, their plan is to privatize the company?  Perhaps, they want another opportunity to pick up some more low hanging fruit with the SIB.  There was an overhang of over 11 041 080  shares that didn't get filled with the last SIB at $6.50.  Kindly recall that Canaccord Genuity has an $8.00 target and this big overhang hasn't disappeared.  The SARs program ...more  
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 1:51pm
Lets assume there is another $50 million SIB forthcoming   $7.50 -$8.50   $50 / $7.5 = 6.7 million shares absorbed  Overhang from previous SIB .... 11.04 million shares   6.7 / 11.04 ~= 60%   It would appear that this SIB might be prorated at 60%
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 1:58pm
Distribution or Substantial Issuer Bid? My preference would be to apply apply the Substantial Issuer Bid encore une fois   Apply a $50 million SIB using a Dutch auction ...   $7.50 to $8.50  Jan 15th, 2021   at $ 7.50 .. 6,666,667 shares would be absorbed  Remaining ... 19,471,288 shares   Advantages   1) Provides a ...more  
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 5:57pm
I invited Google behind the woodshed try that link now  https://groups.google.com/g/canadian-stocks-group
Comment by cybercanuck on Oct 11, 2020 5:59pm
Orca Energy  What was the purpose of changing the name?
Comment by downwithdotcom1 on Oct 11, 2020 7:38pm
daz it-link worked! sunday nite NG tradingup 19 cents to $2.90's . henry hub 2021 contracts now at/above $3 usd ..meanwhile just  got back 40 cents on the dollar with the takeover of PAINTED PONY-my biggest holding outside of ORC.B - go figure..dwdc
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