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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd ZARFF

Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd is a producer of oil and gas. It is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Canada and the United States. The company works on three phases of oil reservoir exploitation which include Primary recovery, Waterflood recovery, and Tertiary recovery. Its portfolio includes Alberta plains north, Alberta plains south and Williston basin... see more

GREY:ZARFF - Post Discussion

Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd > Another (Wild) Guess - flow thru
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Post by pablo87 on Sep 13, 2018 1:04am

Another (Wild) Guess - flow thru

If the offers aren't good, maybe another option is a flow thru. The Cdn drill ready locations would improve annual cashflow in the first year (and zar's cdn oil production by 25%) by over $6M by my guesstimate. It would be very dilutive of course but consider that current break even is $55 WCS, US$68 WTI by my guess based on latest presentation so with current working capital position, its tight IMO.  

Whereas with a drilling investment, it would lower the company's break-even point substantially (to 45 wcs and 55 wti) so any financial concerns would be alleviated (good for debbies) and in fact in most scenarios, the company would then be in a position to invest in further drilling like most non financially constrained companies do.
Comment by pablo87 on Sep 13, 2018 1:19am
Yet another scenario would be North Dakota being sold, debentures being partially paid back and the rest of proceeds used to drill those Cdn drill ready locations. Not dilutive but not as good as a pure flow thru as far as overall corporate cashflow going forward. But better than current situation. GLTA.
Comment by TheJakeMoore on Sep 21, 2018 3:04am
See Saturn Oil and Gas for how to succeed in the current oil market! Saturn just got 20 million financing to drill their SK ground like Swiss cheese!! Grest chart developing!! I will do some DD here. I like depressed oil stocks! Especially big board stocks!
Comment by hawkowl1 on Sep 21, 2018 4:59am
When stock was over .50 cents in spring that would have been a good time to do a flow thru . I get the impression that management are frozen like deer in headlights.    The stock has gone no bid..been marketed for 2 years. Nothing is happening... Perhaps equity has to go to 4 cents in order for some entiy to step up and absorb debentures into buying ZAR outright.  Total disaster ...more  
Comment by pablo87 on Sep 21, 2018 4:48pm
If ND is sold, they lose a lot of cash flow (at least $4M possibly after capex) that they can't afford to lose. It could explain not being in a hurry to sell it until a deal for the whole shooting match is in place. The alternative to a flow thru (to rectify the lost CF from an ND deal) is to pay as much cash to debbies as possible (from ND proceeds) and the rest in stock...that would make it ...more  
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