Bolting Bullets: Lynden Energy (LVL)
- Also: Antioquia Gold’s Latest Drill Results: What To Think
- I met this morning at Dipsea Café in Mill Valley, California, with Richard Andrews, founder and chairman of oil and gas producer and prospector Lynden Energy (Texas and Utah). The Dipsea is a restaurant named to honor the Dipsea Race over Mount Tamalpais and onto Stinson Beach. This weekend was the 100th running of the Marin County mountain race. An eight-year-old won it. I think Lynden Energy (TSX: V.LVL, Stock Forum) has a shot at leveling the oil fields of West Texas and making a bundle for its investors. So another win for what is a five-year-old company. Those investors include Daniel Rice of BlackRock Energy & Resources Fund on the east coast of the USA. BlackRock is a seven percent owner. Pinetree Capital is another in Toronto. Rich and his wife own a total of 10 percent. Raul Madrid, a Colombia-leaning geologist (Conquistador Gold of 1995 to 2001) who now assists Victoria Gold (TSX: V.VIT, Stock Forum) in Nevada, owns 1.5 percent and attended the meeting. Mr. Madrid and Mr. Andrews live in Wine Country – Napa and Calistoga. It was good to see Mr. Andrews after four or five years. Mr. Madrid, meanwhile, is in the school of Zweng, Paul Zweng, that is – the South America-leaning geologist who is now running Bellhaven Copper & Gold (TSX: V.BHV, Stock Forum). Both Paul Zweng and Raul Madrid earned geology doctorates at Stanford University. Both took classes from Marco Einaudi, a Renaissance-like structural geologist with more plaudits, awards and publications on his CV than most of us have investments in our portfolios. I zing this to Ticker Trax subscribers today in advance of a more detailed examination of Lynden, whose private placement of 30-cent or so units from four months ago just came free trading. I have yet to purchase shares. I can say that based on the maps, the interview and some third-party inquiries, we just might have discovered our first “official” energy investment for the Ticker Trax Planetary Prospects. I expect the article to run Tuesday or Wednesday and delivered, as traditional Ticker Trax does, to subscribers first.
- Antioquia Gold (TSX: V.AGD, Stock Forum) on Monday published its latest round of drill results from the Cisneros Project in Colombia. The company still receives no investor respect for its longstanding commitment to this parcel of Antioquia gold country. From what I can tell, with some assistance, it looks like the results are still pieces in a small gold puzzle of some 350,000 to 400,000 ounces. This is a rock-bottom conservative peg at what today’s released results indicate. Antioquia Gold points out that its drilling program is only about a third of the way complete, if that. Robert Casaceli, the structural geologist who is now on the Xtra-Gold Resources (OTO: XTGR, Stock Forum) board of directors, lent a hand in interpreting Antioquia’s data. He noted that one of the formations, called the Nus structure, might indicate that higher gold grades at Cisneros “tend to occur along north-south faults and along east-west faults near intersections with north-south faults.” Mr. Casaceli said he was hopeful his interpretation provides more targeting parameters for the rest of the drilling program at Cisneros. Please see results on Stockhouse. I will continue to hold my Antioquia Gold shares – strictly as a speculative position.
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Planetary Prospects
There are now 12 of them. Please visit www.tickertrax.com and search our landing page for details on the start of coverage for individual Planetary Prospects and the entry price.
- Central Fund of Canada (AMEX: CEF, Stock Forum) and (TSX: T.CEF.A, Stock Forum) – Gold and silver repository. Its premiums, being a closed-end fund, are rising. Own this one as a money market proxy for real gold and silver – metal that actually might be delivered to investors if ever they want to cash in their paper stakes. One day, when investors decide they absolutely must own gold and silver, Central Fund shares will see their premium over net asset value double … or more.
- BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: BCRX, Stock Forum) –Influenza and leukemia drugs. Gout, too. Biomedical appears to be back in vogue as an investment. We here at home are holding these shares – 80,000 and counting – as “The Return of H1N1” influenza virus plays at hemispheres, nations and regions near all of us. There is no risk of a dilutive financing. There is a risk of Type A H1N1 remaining the dominant seasonal flu virus for several years. The company has a new 5.5 percent investor: Joseph L. Harrosh. (Please view: Stockhouse exclusive article.)
- Endeavour Silver (AMEX: EXK, Stock Forum) and (TSX: T.EDR, Stock Forum) – Silver (and gold) in Mexico. I expect Endeavour Silver to purchase a publicly-traded silver (or silver-gold open-pit) company this year. Probably in Mexico … but Endeavour’s principals tell me they will not rule out other parts of North America. First-quarter metrics, including costs, cash flow (a net profit for the three months vs. a year-ago loss), silver and gold output, are improved markedly. Brad Cooke and his team realize they have to show their audience its exploration activities are vibrant enough to hurtle the small Guanajuato and Durango company above five million ounces of silver equivalent per year. Mr. Cooke and his team say they are doing exploration drilling at the San Juanico property in Parral, Chihuahua, among other points. Endeavour Silver’s project outline is on its Internet site: Please see the list.
- Endeavour Financial (TSX: T.EDV, Stock Forum) – No relation to Endeavour Silver. This is Neil Woodyer’s profitable Canada-traded merchant bank that is making a big bet on West Africa. … in the form of Crew Gold (TSX: T.CRU, Stock Forum) and a 43 percent stake and Etruscan Resources (TSX: T.EET, Stock Forum) and a 55 percent stake. Endeavour just made nice with Severstal, the Russia entity with a large stake in Crew Gold. Endeavour Financial logged $213 million of net profit in its most recent quarter. Endeavour Financial does business with natural resources and energy companies. The shares, even with a three-month steady climb, trade at a discount to the value of securities owned by Endeavour Financial. It owns about $500 million of gold investments and other merchant bank investments, giving the company a book value that is about twice the current share price.
- Xtra-Gold Resources (OTO: XTGR, Stock Forum) –This West Africa gold prospector might follow in the footsteps of successful Keegan Resources (TSX: T.KGN, Stock Forum) … and Perseus Mining (TSX: T.PRU, Stock Forum) … and Red Back Mining (TSX: T.RBI, Stock Forum). Xtra-Gold shares get little attention on the USA over-the-counter bulletin board and deserve a listing on a commodities-comfortable exchange. Let’s hope James Longshore and his team, including new geologist-consultant Robert J. Casaceli and new CEO Paul Zyla, keep moving in the right direction. Mr. Longshore tells us he now owns three million shares of his own company, up from two million shares. Fresh drilling will start by July. (Pleasesee the Libraryfor coverage stretching back to autumn 2009.)
- Great Basin Gold (TSX: T.GBG, Stock Forum) – This is Ferdi Dippenaar’s South Africa and Nevada miner. Real gold at Burnstone and Hollister mines … and prospecting at Esmeralda in Nevada. Great Basin says it has “excellent operational performance at Hollister in Nevada and improved efficiencies at the Esmeralda Mill facility in Nevada.” Ditto for South Africa’s Burnstone Mine. I have been to all of the company’s working properties. GBG is on track to become the next $1 billion market cap gold company. Current cap is almost $600 million. (Please see our password-protected libraryfor coverage.)
- Candente Copper (TSX: T.DNT, Stock Forum) – Joanne Freeze’s Candente has copper in Peru at Cañariaco. The almost eight-billion-pound copper project is starting to get the attention of manufacturers and bankers. Yet Candente Copper’s shares sell for a value of only a penny a pound for its in-situ copper. Candente Copper, formerly Candente Resource, is among the cheapest propositions (based on ore in the ground) in this list, along with Avanti Mining. The Candente companies’ properties in Peru also include poly-metallic prospects that might some day package into a third, separately-traded company. (Please see libraryfor coverage.)
- Candente Gold (TSX: T.CDG, Stock Forum) – This separate company’s shares were distributed to predecessor Candente Resource’s shareholders in January 2010. We issued a full report on Candente Gold’s Peru prospects in April. Now, we’re examining El Oro, an entire district and artisanal mine workings in Mexico. I am hoping to see fresh and theoretical calculations on existing and freshly discovered vein targets from Ms. Freeze. (Please see password-protected libraryfor coverage of El Oro in Mexico.)
- Great Panther Silver (TSX: T.GPR, Stock Forum) – Silver in Mexico. Robert Archer is the CEO. The Panther just extended one of its veins, called Recompensa, at the Topia property in Durango, Mexico. The company is on the prowl for assets so that it can notch 20 percent yearly gains in output. GPR’s rising silver grades and low stock valuation compared with other Mexico silver producers make the company’s shares look like a bargain. Quarterly performance at the Canadian company produced a net profit. Great Panther’s silver-equivalent output at Guanajuato and in Mexico’s Durango state is benefiting from improved efficiencies and richer gold harvests. The company’s metals’ production includes byproducts and runs about half that of Guanajuato neighbor Endeavour Silver. Great Panther must mine richer ore in greater quantities to fulfill its promise as a Planetary Prospect.
- Avanti Mining (TSX: V.AVT, Stock Forum) – Cheap and aspiring molybdenum mine at Kitsault in British Columbia. Avanti just hired Bob Jacko of Thompson Creek Metals to manage project development at the mine. When Avanti’s Craig J. Nelsen and A J Ali see this through, Kitsault will be producing about 25 million pounds of the stainless-steel additive each year – for 15 years. That is 215 million metric tons of ore grading 0.085 percent of moly. That works for a world where steel-based moly demand is expected to expand six percent or so this year and next. I just saw in the latest proxy that Mr. Nelsen, the Avanti CEO living in Colorado, owns 10 million shares of the company. Canada’s Bob Cross of B2Gold is an Avanti director and owns more than five million shares. Avanti Mining at a market worth of less than $20 million is the cheapest proposition on this list. Avanti must show it can line up plenty of cash or lending pacts for a project whose total cost probably will run more than $640 million. Mr. Ali, Avanti CFO, is trying to notch one or two off-take agreements for the mine’s easily reached moly. The takers likely will hail from Asia, where steel mills require a steady and reliable supply of the element molybdenum. I have been to Kitsault. Moly is an additive in all types of stainless steel. I have been purchasing more shares this month at the price of 12.5 cents and 11.5 cents. (Please see the password-protected libraryfor coverage.)
- Colombian Mines Corp. (TSX: V.CMJ, Stock Forum) – CMJ has one of the thickest property books in Colombia for such a tiny company: some 300,000 hectares. Bob and Gloria Carrington and Nate Tewalt’s company has reported drill results from its Yarumalito project in Colombia. The numbers were mediocre. The company recently optioned its Anori gold and copper prospect to Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY, Stock Forum) and (TSX: T.YRI, Stock Forum). CMJ gets $50,000 from Yamana right from the get-go. CMJ’s Robert Carrington says he and CEO Nate Tewalt of Washington State are considering a joint venture or sale for its Venecia holding in Antioquia. (Please see the password-protected libraryfor coverage.)
- Bellhaven Copper & Gold (TSX: V.BHV, Stock Forum) – Our newest member. Panama and Colombia. We here at home now own 1.4 million shares Honolulu fund manager and doctor of geology Paul Zweng is a large investor and just-named interim CEO. Dr. Zweng’s success rate with epithermal gold deposits and with copper prospects such as Peru’s Antares Minerals (TSX: V.ANM, Stock Forum) is among the best I have seen in eight years. Bellhaven now owns the Las Minas concession in Antioquia, close by CMJ’s Venecia property and Sunward’s (TSX: V.SWD, Stock Forum) Titiribi. We at home own shares of this and all Planetary Prospects. (Please see the Libraryfor coverage.)
In Colombia, our speculative target is Antioquia Gold (TSX: V.AGD, Stock Forum). We here at home own it. We also own (and have researched and visited since 2008) Medoro Resources (TSX: V.MRS, Stock Forum). John Hicks’ Medoro Resources is on track to purchase the historic Frontino Mine in Antioquia for as much as $200 million. Medoro’s annual report and recent quarter are just published and show that its completed purchase of El Marmato in Antioquia has measured and indicated ounces of 7.5 million ounces and inferred ounces of 2.2 million.
We here at Ticker Trax™do not address queries about a company, an investment or a speculative theme that is written as part of Ticker Trax or our Stockhouse reports but is not a Planetary Prospect. We stand firmly behind our Planetary Prospects and back them with our own patient money here at home. With the exception of Central Fund of Canada, which I view as a gold and silver money market for cash purposes, I have not sold and do not sell in and out of our Planetary Prospects. Ticker Trax™ and Stockhouse audiences receive notice, in some cases weeks, when we here at home decide to purchase or sell any security named in these reports.
As for reporting on other companies, ideas are there for all to view and consider. Please do not expect Ticker Trax to support these subjects with research, on-site visits and so on. Feel free to contact these companies, be they Nevada prospectors, Canada miners or Peru, Colombia and South Africa companies … and so on.
For an entire explanation of our strategies, research methods and disclosure procedures regarding all aspects of Ticker Trax and our Stockhouse reports, please visit our readily available Stockhouse articles – especially this one: Core Box Revealed. Companies whose site tours I attend for research purposes pay part or all of my airfare and hotel. Stockhouse and I also pay when necessary.
Ticker Trax™
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(All photos by Thom Calandra. Thom and his family own shares of each of the 12 Planetary Prospects. Thom’s personal holdings are available for all to see on Stockhouse, the Canada publishing company. Subscribers are informed well in advance of any shift in research regarding Planetary Prospects and any purchase or sales decisions. Subscribers always come first.)
Ticker Trax™Please see tickertrax.com to learn more about this wealth service and its Planetary Prospects. For an index of free Thom Calandra articles, please click here. For an entire explanation of our strategies, research methods and disclosure procedures regarding all aspects of Ticker Trax and our Stockhouse reports, please visit our readily available Stockhouse articles. Please see this one in particular: Core Box Revealed. For the password-protected Ticker Traxlibrary, please see: www.tickertrax.com/Login.aspx.
HOLDINGS: Thom’s holdings are listed for Stockhouse members at www.Stockhouse.com under the “portfolio setting” for user TCALANDRA. It is public and free to view. He and his family own recently minted gold and silver coins and shares of about 30 public and two private companies. As with each of the Planetary Prospects, Thom Calandra owns Colombian Mines, Xtra-Gold Resources, Great Basin Gold, Endeavour Silver, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Bellhaven Copper & Gold and each of the other Planetary Prospects researched in this and other reports.
THOM CALANDRA of Ticker Trax helps his audience find value in a quagmire of investment choices. Thom co-founded CBS MarketWatch and MarketWatch.com. As the voice of Thom Calandra's StockWatch and The Calandra Report, Thom pegged $300-ounce gold as a long-term hold in 1999 and in 2000. He has been covering life-sciences and natural resources since 1988.
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Ticker Trax™ is published by Stockhouse Publishing Ltd. Ticker Trax is an information service for subscribers and neither Stockhouse nor Thom Calandra is a broker or an investment advisor. None of the information contained therein constitutes a recommendation by Mr. Calandra or Stockhouse that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Ticker Trax does not purport to tell or suggest the investment securities subscribers or readers should buy or sell for themselves. Subscribers and readers of Ticker Trax should conduct their own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decisions. Ticker Trax will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by a reader’s reliance on information obtained in the reports. Subscribers and readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions. Opinions expressed in Ticker Trax are based on sources believed to be reliable and are written in good faith, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. All information contained in Ticker Trax should be independently verified. The editor and publisher are not responsible for errors or omissions or responsible for keeping information up to date or for correcting any past information. Ticker Trax does not receive compensation of any kind from any companies that may be mentioned in the report. Any opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Owners, employees and writers may hold positions in the securities that are discussed in Ticker Trax. PLEASE DO NOT EMAIL THOM SEEKING PERSONALIZED INVESTMENT ADVICE, WHICH HE CANNOT PROVIDE. Copyright 2010 all rights reserved.