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The Road Ahead May Be Brighter Than Expectations

THE BIG PICTURE Recent data seems to cast doubt on the seemingly never-ending call for an imminent recession. From a September 20, 2019 Bloomberg article: “The U.S. economy is outperforming expectations by the most this year, offering a fresh rebuttal to last month&C...
Chris Ciovacco | September 24, 2019 |

History Says Stocks Can Perform Very Well After Big Oil Shocks

HOW CONCERNING IS THE RECENT SPIKE IN OIL PRICES? Monday’s news was filled with blurbs similar to the one below from CNBC: “Stocks fell on Monday amid fears that a surge in oil prices following an attack in Saudi Arabia could slow down global economic g...
Chris Ciovacco | September 18, 2019 |

Trade, Impeachment, And The Conviction Of Buyers And Sellers

ROLLOVER PROCESS 2007-2008 Since every trade has a buyer and a seller, price action in the financial markets is determined by the conviction of buyers relative to the conviction of sellers. In the first half of 2007 (chart below), the conviction of buyers became stronger t...
Chris Ciovacco | September 30, 2019 |

Similar Drops In ISM Manufacturing Data

RARE AND RAPID DROP IN ISM MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing PMI Index came in well below expectations on October 1, 2019 sparking renewed fear of a recession. Given the ISM Manufacturing Index was strong in August 2018 and plunged rapidly to the October 1, 2019 lev...
Chris Ciovacco | October 3, 2019 |

GBP/USD – Pound Gaining Ground as Boris Holds Lead in Polls

It’s Election Day across the U.K, and millions of voters will determine what happens next with the Brexit saga, which has lasted three years. If Prime Minister Johnson can win an outright majority, the British pound could respond with significant gains. ...
FX Empire | December 12, 2019 |

Feb 12th 2020, Crypto Chartbook – Consistently extracting profits

Consistently extracting profits In our chartbook publication from last week we published a chart with entry levels as a guide on when to enter the market. Briefly after publication, the first low risk price level was approached. Consequently we posted a screen...
Korbinian Koller | February 12, 2020 |

The Six Most Powerful Charts On Wall Street

THIS IS WHAT A MAJOR TREND REVERSAL LOOKS LIKE The three periods shown below produced an average peak-to-trough loss of over 50%. Thus, it is prudent to understand some of the common characteristics found in all three cases. We can then look for similar characteristics in ...
Chris Ciovacco | October 16, 2019 |

Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020? Part1

The stock market is confounding growing Coronavirus fears by recovering all of the late January's drop in the wake of Coronavirus news out of China that started global alarm bells ringing of what could transpire right across the world. The Dow retraced all of its drop from 2...
Nadeem Walayat | February 12, 2020 |

Calculate the Trading Strategies' Profitability like a Pro

Investors venture into cryptocurrency trading to gain profits. They employ customized trading strategies, portfolio management strategies, and progressive investment decisions throughout their trade. Due to the progressive nature of trading, tracking one&CloseCurlyQuote...
Julia Beyers | September 5, 2019 |

Coronavirus China Infection Statistics Analysis, Probability Forecasts 1/2 Million Infected

We in the West are in still the CALM before the Coronavirus STORM stage, both in terms of infections and in terms of economic impact as we witness China's economy effectively grind to a halt, a harbinger of what to expect to come that the financial markets are STILL NOT disc...
Nadeem Walayat | February 24, 2020 |
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