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The Road Ahead May Be Brighter Than Expectations

THE BIG PICTURE Recent data seems to cast doubt on the seemingly never-ending call for an imminent recession. From a September 20, 2019 Bloomberg article: “The U.S. economy is outperforming expectations by the most this year, offering a fresh rebuttal to last month&C...

History Says Stocks Can Perform Very Well After Big Oil Shocks

HOW CONCERNING IS THE RECENT SPIKE IN OIL PRICES? Monday’s news was filled with blurbs similar to the one below from CNBC: “Stocks fell on Monday amid fears that a surge in oil prices following an attack in Saudi Arabia could slow down global economic g...

Rally or New Bull Market?

In recent days the market has moved from expecting a rate cut by January 2020 to now expecting as much as three rate cuts by then. As a result both Gold and gold stocks launched higher, forming a “three white soldiers” bullish reversal pattern. Last w...

Similar Drops In ISM Manufacturing Data

RARE AND RAPID DROP IN ISM MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing PMI Index came in well below expectations on October 1, 2019 sparking renewed fear of a recession. Given the ISM Manufacturing Index was strong in August 2018 and plunged rapidly to the October 1, 2019 lev...

Trade, Impeachment, And The Conviction Of Buyers And Sellers

ROLLOVER PROCESS 2007-2008 Since every trade has a buyer and a seller, price action in the financial markets is determined by the conviction of buyers relative to the conviction of sellers. In the first half of 2007 (chart below), the conviction of buyers became stronger t...

Will Powell Cut Interest Rates, Triggering Gold Rally?

Yesterday we wrote about Draghi , so today Powell is our hero. Only one week separates us from the pivotal FOMC meeting. What should gold investors expect? First Fed Cut Since 2008 In a week, the Fed may deliver its first interest rate cut since 2008. Given the mark...

GBP/USD – Pound Gaining Ground as Boris Holds Lead in Polls

It’s Election Day across the U.K, and millions of voters will determine what happens next with the Brexit saga, which has lasted three years. If Prime Minister Johnson can win an outright majority, the British pound could respond with significant gains. ...

Feb 12th 2020, Crypto Chartbook – Consistently extracting profits

Consistently extracting profits In our chartbook publication from last week we published a chart with entry levels as a guide on when to enter the market. Briefly after publication, the first low risk price level was approached. Consequently we posted a screen...

The Six Most Powerful Charts On Wall Street

THIS IS WHAT A MAJOR TREND REVERSAL LOOKS LIKE The three periods shown below produced an average peak-to-trough loss of over 50%. Thus, it is prudent to understand some of the common characteristics found in all three cases. We can then look for similar characteristics in ...

Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020? Part1

The stock market is confounding growing Coronavirus fears by recovering all of the late January's drop in the wake of Coronavirus news out of China that started global alarm bells ringing of what could transpire right across the world. The Dow retraced all of its drop from 2...
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