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Have We Just Seen the First Short-Term Crack in the Stock Market Dam?

Stocks reached out for new 2020 highs yesterday, and have marginally overcome futures’ Monday session highs. Yet, they suffered a setback yesterday, and price action left the very short-term rising wedge. But the bulls erased a good deal of previous losses, and...

Market outlook: is the stock market selloff over?

Last week we explained why the market's short term outlook is bearish. The stock market is now making a pullback, and trade war news isn't helping bulls. Over the past year, tariff-related news has not been good for stocks in the short term. Technicals (short term, nex...

The Many Opportunities the Fed Day Has Dealt Us

Volatile trading is calming down, revealing several opportunities. The euro has retraced its yesterday’s downswing, the Japanese yen is strengthening – just as the Canadian dollar is. Swiss franc is another currency we’re keeping a close eye on....

This Is What the Crude-Oil-to-Gold Ratio Says About Oil Now

Many times in the past, the relationship between gold and oil gave us valuable clues about crude oil future moves. Will the history repeat itself once again? What can we infer about the next gold move from the chart below? Let’s examine the cu...

Stock Bottom Reached? Don’t Bet the Farm Just Yet

As the markets grapple with the coronavirus story, the stock market is no exception. Jittery and volatile trading is what we’ve seen on Friday, January 24 already. In the heat of the moment, it’s easy to sell first and ask questions later. But t...

Stock Bottom Reached? Don’t Bet the Farm Just Yet

As the markets grapple with the coronavirus story, the stock market is no exception. Jittery and volatile trading is what we’ve seen on Friday, January 24 already. In the heat of the moment, it’s easy to sell first and ask questions later. But t...

As Stocks Fell Through the Floor Yesterday, Is the Selling Over Now?

After a two-day flirt with breaking below the short-term bearish technical formation, stocks finally declined yesterday. Well before the closing bell though, the bulls stepped in and erased most of the plunge that happened during the first hour of trading. Has it been all ther...

Market outlook: is this a V-shaped recovery?

The stock market bounced this week after it tanked last week on trade war news. Is the stock market making a V-shaped recovery? Probably not. Technicals (short term, next 1-3 months): mixed. If I had to assign a probability to a V-shaped recovery, it would be < 40% ...

Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks?

While last week brought us higher stock prices, Thursday and Friday were bad days for the bulls. And little wonder, as the technical deterioration continues to play out. Looking at both the closing prices on Friday and today’s premarket action, how close to the...

Failed Breakouts Take a Heavy Toll on the Oil Bulls

The bulls certainly made a strong run yesterday but didn’t finish the day on a strong note in the least. That’s an understatement, actually. They’ve given up almost all of their gains, closing below the many important resistances...
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