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Evidence Of A Broad Swing In Global Stock Momentum

INSTITUTIONS DRIVE MARKETS Institutions typically lead in the stock market and retail investors follow, which is why equity-based mutual funds and ETFs have seen record outflows in 2019, but the stock market has still gone up. Institutions have been supporting the market...
Chris Ciovacco | December 18, 2019 |

Global Dow Nails Down Bullish Signal

SIGN OF GROWING CONFIDENCE At the end of November, monthly CCI completed a momentum round trip by closing above 100 after closing below -100 in late 2018. CCI helps us track market momentum. The turn that just took place over the last year is typically associated with a si...
Chris Ciovacco | December 18, 2019 |

Trade, Impeachment, And The Conviction Of Buyers And Sellers

ROLLOVER PROCESS 2007-2008 Since every trade has a buyer and a seller, price action in the financial markets is determined by the conviction of buyers relative to the conviction of sellers. In the first half of 2007 (chart below), the conviction of buyers became stronger t...
Chris Ciovacco | September 30, 2019 |

Fed Was Caught Off Guard by the Economic Shock. And Gold?

Another week passed, and the number of jobless claims increased further. That was clearly not expected by the Fed, as the recent minutes shows. What does it all mean for the gold market? Unemployment Claims Rose Further Initial jobless claims have become one the most im...
Arkadiusz Sieron | April 14, 2020 |

Global Central Banks Move To Keep The Party Rolling Onward – Part I

The recent news that the US Fed, China and many of the global central banks are continuing to make efforts to lower rates and spark further consumer spending and economic activity is reminiscent of the late 2010~2013 global economic recovery efforts. This was a time when the e...
Chris Vermeulen | August 14, 2019 |

NEL, Nikola, Tesla - is the world facing a new billion-dollar scandal?

The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) is a renowned organization focusing on research, economic policy advice and analysis. It sees itself as the research institute for globalisation issues in Germany. The institute cooperates worldwide with universities, research ins...
Mario Hose | June 24, 2020 |

Part II – We Are Concerned About The Real Estate Market

In this second part of our research into the potential collateral damage, the Covid-19 global virus event may cause in the housing and commercial real estate markets, we want to start by sharing some information that severe cracks are already starting to appear in the entire...
Chris Vermeulen | March 23, 2020 |

Central Banks Fire Bazooka at Coronavirus. Will Gold Rally?

The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, including the Fed, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system. We invite you thus ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | April 20, 2020 |

The Message From Common Stock Market Retracement Levels

RETRACEMENTS SPEAK TO ODDS If we are to believe the market’s rally off the December 2018 low is the last hurrah, we would expect to see some damage on the normal retracement front. Using the last rally into the S&P 500’s major October 2007 p...
Chris Ciovacco | October 8, 2019 |

The Six Most Powerful Charts On Wall Street

THIS IS WHAT A MAJOR TREND REVERSAL LOOKS LIKE The three periods shown below produced an average peak-to-trough loss of over 50%. Thus, it is prudent to understand some of the common characteristics found in all three cases. We can then look for similar characteristics in ...
Chris Ciovacco | October 16, 2019 |
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