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The examination of Apple earnings trade idea - part II

Last week we discussed some of the fundamental concepts necessary to understand both the behavior of options in the approach to earnings release and their reaction to the actual release itself. Our example was Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ: AAPL , Stock Forum ) which indeed reporte...

Why XOM is close to an ideal option trading candidate

XOM has a hugely active options series, trades in both monthly and weekly expiration series and has bid / ask spreads that are just a few pennies wide. One of the most interesting aspects of options is the myriad opportunities presented for high probability trades for thos...

Junior Miners in 2020

What does 2020 have in store for the junior mining sector? I wish I had a crystal ball but I believe that finally the junior mining investors will be rewarded broadly from 2020-2022. 2019 was a good year for gold and gold stocks in general but unlike the majors, not all juni...

Coronavirus China Infection Statistics Analysis, Probability Forecasts 1/2 Million Infected

We in the West are in still the CALM before the Coronavirus STORM stage, both in terms of infections and in terms of economic impact as we witness China's economy effectively grind to a halt, a harbinger of what to expect to come that the financial markets are STILL NOT disc...

Investment Contrarians: To Be or Not To Be

With due deference to the greatness of William Shakespeare, the opening line of Hamlet is one that has been found not only in literature, but in film, music and politics, and is a question that has been asked for centuries as to whether the pain we endure in life is pre...

Why You May Want to Avoid Buying Options This Week

If you do not understand implied volatility and you are buying put or call options or some combination, you have been warned! The market continues to move very fast, has large swings, and one would think that makes it an excellent time to buy options for huge gains, r...

Has the Basing Setup In Natural Gas Completed?

Back in June 2019, we posted a research article suggesting that Natural Gas was setting up an extended basing pattern below $2.35 preparing for a seasonal rally that typically initiates in late August or early September. We believe the basing pattern has nearly completed and n...

Bob Moriarty | It’s Time to Buy Silver!

In this interview, Bob Moriarty of 321gold sits down with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable to discuss a number of important topics ranging from hospital cost incentives regarding the COVID-19, and the how the economy...

Market outlook: is this a V-shaped recovery?

The stock market bounced this week after it tanked last week on trade war news. Is the stock market making a V-shaped recovery? Probably not. Technicals (short term, next 1-3 months): mixed. If I had to assign a probability to a V-shaped recovery, it would be < 40% ...

Q4 Guesstimates: Precious Metals, Miners and Stocks

You have all heard me opine about the (un)dependability of rules-based investing in a managed market environment, where it is not kosher for a financial advisor to fire off a promotional tweet about their favorite stock but it is perfectly acceptable for a sitting presi...
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